Trader consensus in the Connecticut Republican gubernatorial primary favors former New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart at 53.5% implied probability, driven by her campaign's mid-February internal poll showing a commanding 39%-16% lead over state Sen. Ryan Fazio among likely primary voters, bolstered by her name recognition from executive experience. Fazio claims 32% as a strong challenger, lifted by a late February University of New Hampshire survey identifying him as the most popular GOP contender amid his focus on energy costs and conservative credentials. Former New York Lt. Gov. Betsy McCaughey sits at 12% despite her recent entry, tempered by age concerns, while ex-state Rep. Harry Arora and others trail with lower visibility. The August 11 primary remains competitive, with endorsements, fundraising, and voter turnout pivotal amid a crowded field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЭрин Стюарт 54%
Райан Фацио 24%
Харри Арора 8.0%
Бетси Маккоги 6%
Эрин Стюарт
54%
Райан Фацио
30%
Харри Арора
10%
Бетси Маккоги
12%
Тимоти Уилкокс
2%
Эрин Стюарт 54%
Райан Фацио 24%
Харри Арора 8.0%
Бетси Маккоги 6%
Эрин Стюарт
54%
Райан Фацио
30%
Харри Арора
10%
Бетси Маккоги
12%
Тимоти Уилкокс
2%
If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Connecticut Republican gubernatorial primary favors former New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart at 53.5% implied probability, driven by her campaign's mid-February internal poll showing a commanding 39%-16% lead over state Sen. Ryan Fazio among likely primary voters, bolstered by her name recognition from executive experience. Fazio claims 32% as a strong challenger, lifted by a late February University of New Hampshire survey identifying him as the most popular GOP contender amid his focus on energy costs and conservative credentials. Former New York Lt. Gov. Betsy McCaughey sits at 12% despite her recent entry, tempered by age concerns, while ex-state Rep. Harry Arora and others trail with lower visibility. The August 11 primary remains competitive, with endorsements, fundraising, and voter turnout pivotal amid a crowded field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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