Incumbent Governor Ned Lamont dominates trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Connecticut's Democratic primary for governor, driven by his strong incumbency advantage, solid approval ratings above 50% amid stable state finances and effective crisis management on issues like energy costs and education funding. No major challengers have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving state Senator Josh E. Elliott at 3.9% as a low-profile contender lacking widespread name recognition or fundraising momentum. With the August 2026 primary over 20 months away, odds reflect the historical edge incumbents hold in uncontested fields, though late scandals, health issues, or a high-profile dropout could open the field to new entrants and shift sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$14,476 Объем
$14,476 Объем
Нед Ламонт
93%
Джош Эллиотт
4%
$14,476 Объем
$14,476 Объем
Нед Ламонт
93%
Джош Эллиотт
4%
If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Governor Ned Lamont dominates trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Connecticut's Democratic primary for governor, driven by his strong incumbency advantage, solid approval ratings above 50% amid stable state finances and effective crisis management on issues like energy costs and education funding. No major challengers have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving state Senator Josh E. Elliott at 3.9% as a low-profile contender lacking widespread name recognition or fundraising momentum. With the August 2026 primary over 20 months away, odds reflect the historical edge incumbents hold in uncontested fields, though late scandals, health issues, or a high-profile dropout could open the field to new entrants and shift sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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