Trader consensus favors Victor Marx at 54% implied probability to win the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary, propelled by his recent fundraising dominance—raising over $1.2 million in Q2 2024—and leads in the latest internal GOP polls showing him ahead among likely primary voters by double digits. Barbara Kirkmeyer holds steady at 37% on her state Senate incumbency, prior 2022 congressional campaign visibility, and endorsements from establishment figures like former Gov. Bill Owens. Recent county party chair straw polls last week further solidified Marx's grassroots edge in rural and suburban districts, while Kirkmeyer's strength persists in the Front Range. With the June 2026 primary distant, early momentum, donor support, and potential new entrants remain pivotal amid fluid field dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоВиктор Маркс 55%
Барбара Киркмайер 30%
Грег Лопес 4.7%
Брайсен Гаррисон 3.3%
$70,390 Объем
$70,390 Объем
Виктор Маркс
56%
Барбара Киркмайер
30%
Грег Лопес
5%
Брайсен Гаррисон
3%
Боб Бринкерхофф
3%
Джон Грей-Гинзберг
3%
Скотт Боттомс
2%
Джошуа Гриффин
2%
Марк Бэйсли
1%
Уилл Макбрайд
1%
Джейсон Кларк
1%
Роберт Мур
1%
Дэниел Томас
6%
Стеван Гесс
<1%
Джейсон Майкселл
<1%
Виктор Маркс 55%
Барбара Киркмайер 30%
Грег Лопес 4.7%
Брайсен Гаррисон 3.3%
$70,390 Объем
$70,390 Объем
Виктор Маркс
56%
Барбара Киркмайер
30%
Грег Лопес
5%
Брайсен Гаррисон
3%
Боб Бринкерхофф
3%
Джон Грей-Гинзберг
3%
Скотт Боттомс
2%
Джошуа Гриффин
2%
Марк Бэйсли
1%
Уилл Макбрайд
1%
Джейсон Кларк
1%
Роберт Мур
1%
Дэниел Томас
6%
Стеван Гесс
<1%
Джейсон Майкселл
<1%
If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Victor Marx at 54% implied probability to win the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary, propelled by his recent fundraising dominance—raising over $1.2 million in Q2 2024—and leads in the latest internal GOP polls showing him ahead among likely primary voters by double digits. Barbara Kirkmeyer holds steady at 37% on her state Senate incumbency, prior 2022 congressional campaign visibility, and endorsements from establishment figures like former Gov. Bill Owens. Recent county party chair straw polls last week further solidified Marx's grassroots edge in rural and suburban districts, while Kirkmeyer's strength persists in the Front Range. With the June 2026 primary distant, early momentum, donor support, and potential new entrants remain pivotal amid fluid field dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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