With Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race remains fluid in the nonpartisan top-four primary set for August 18, where ranked-choice voting will decide the general election winner on November 3. Trader consensus favors Democrat Tom Begich at 25.5% implied probability, edging Republican Bernadette Wilson (21.5%) and Attorney General Treg Taylor (17.3%), reflecting a fragmented Republican field that splits conservative support among Nancy Dahlstrom (11.4%) and others. A February Lake Research Partners poll showed Begich leading a multi-candidate primary ballot at 22% versus Wilson's 14% and 23% undecided voters, bolstered by strong six-figure fundraising hauls reported February 18 across ten candidates. Recent candidate forums signal rising visibility, but endorsements, debates, or the June 1 filing deadline could consolidate support and create separation in this closely contested open-seat contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Победитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Том Бегич 26%
Бернадетт Уилсон 22%
Трег Тейлор 16.9%
Нэнси Дальстром 11.4%
$737,787 Объем
$737,787 Объем

Том Бегич
26%

Бернадетт Уилсон
22%

Трег Тейлор
17%

Нэнси Дальстром
11%

Джонатан Крайсс-Томкинс
11%

Клик Бишоп
4%

Дэвид Бронсон
3%

Лиза Мурковски
3%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Брюс Уолден
3%

Мэтт Кламан
3%

Мэтт Хейлала
2%

Хэнк Кролл
1%

Эдна ДеВриз
1%

Шелли Хьюз
1%

Адам Крам
1%

Джеймс Паркин
<1%
Том Бегич 26%
Бернадетт Уилсон 22%
Трег Тейлор 16.9%
Нэнси Дальстром 11.4%
$737,787 Объем
$737,787 Объем

Том Бегич
26%

Бернадетт Уилсон
22%

Трег Тейлор
17%

Нэнси Дальстром
11%

Джонатан Крайсс-Томкинс
11%

Клик Бишоп
4%

Дэвид Бронсон
3%

Лиза Мурковски
3%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Брюс Уолден
3%

Мэтт Кламан
3%

Мэтт Хейлала
2%

Хэнк Кролл
1%

Эдна ДеВриз
1%

Шелли Хьюз
1%

Адам Крам
1%

Джеймс Паркин
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Gov. Mike Dunleavy term-limited, the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race remains fluid in the nonpartisan top-four primary set for August 18, where ranked-choice voting will decide the general election winner on November 3. Trader consensus favors Democrat Tom Begich at 25.5% implied probability, edging Republican Bernadette Wilson (21.5%) and Attorney General Treg Taylor (17.3%), reflecting a fragmented Republican field that splits conservative support among Nancy Dahlstrom (11.4%) and others. A February Lake Research Partners poll showed Begich leading a multi-candidate primary ballot at 22% versus Wilson's 14% and 23% undecided voters, bolstered by strong six-figure fundraising hauls reported February 18 across ten candidates. Recent candidate forums signal rising visibility, but endorsements, debates, or the June 1 filing deadline could consolidate support and create separation in this closely contested open-seat contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы