Recent Democratic turnout surges in early 2026 primaries, including North Texas and nationwide contests through mid-March, alongside polls like NBC's showing 74% Democratic enthusiasm versus 61% for Republicans and a +6 generic ballot edge among registered voters, have elevated trader consensus toward 115-120 million total House votes at 17%. This clustering around 110-125 million—near 2022's 108 million baseline—reflects historical midterm turnout rates of 45% among eligible voters amid opposition motivation during a Republican presidency. The race stays tight due to volatile factors like presidential approval, economic data on inflation and immigration, and balanced generic ballot trends. Separation could arise from sustained primary momentum, widening polling averages, or GOP base mobilization ahead of November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено115-120 млн 17%
110–115 млн 14%
120-125 млн 14%
125–130 млн 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85 млн
9%
85-90 млн
10%
90–95 млн
7%
95-100 млн
9%
100–105 млн
8%
105-110 млн
11%
110–115 млн
14%
115-120 млн
17%
120-125 млн
14%
125–130 млн
14%
130 млн+
9%
115-120 млн 17%
110–115 млн 14%
120-125 млн 14%
125–130 млн 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85 млн
$206 Объем
9%
85-90 млн
$305 Объем
10%
90–95 млн
$688 Объем
7%
95-100 млн
$137 Объем
9%
100–105 млн
$0 Объем
8%
105-110 млн
$0 Объем
11%
110–115 млн
$0 Объем
14%
115-120 млн
$0 Объем
17%
120-125 млн
$0 Объем
14%
125–130 млн
$0 Объем
14%
130 млн+
$0 Объем
9%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent Democratic turnout surges in early 2026 primaries, including North Texas and nationwide contests through mid-March, alongside polls like NBC's showing 74% Democratic enthusiasm versus 61% for Republicans and a +6 generic ballot edge among registered voters, have elevated trader consensus toward 115-120 million total House votes at 17%. This clustering around 110-125 million—near 2022's 108 million baseline—reflects historical midterm turnout rates of 45% among eligible voters amid opposition motivation during a Republican presidency. The race stays tight due to volatile factors like presidential approval, economic data on inflation and immigration, and balanced generic ballot trends. Separation could arise from sustained primary momentum, widening polling averages, or GOP base mobilization ahead of November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Объем
$1,335Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent Democratic turnout surges in early 2026 primaries, including North Texas and nationwide contests through mid-March, alongside polls like NBC's showing 74% Democratic enthusiasm versus 61% for Republicans and a +6 generic ballot edge among registered voters, have elevated trader consensus toward 115-120 million total House votes at 17%. This clustering around 110-125 million—near 2022's 108 million baseline—reflects historical midterm turnout rates of 45% among eligible voters amid opposition motivation during a Republican presidency. The race stays tight due to volatile factors like presidential approval, economic data on inflation and immigration, and balanced generic ballot trends. Separation could arise from sustained primary momentum, widening polling averages, or GOP base mobilization ahead of November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Объем
$1,335Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Democratic turnout surges in early 2026 primaries, including North Texas and nationwide contests through mid-March, alongside polls like NBC's showing 74% Democratic enthusiasm versus 61% for Republicans and a +6 generic ballot edge among registered voters, have elevated trader consensus toward 115-120 million total House votes at 17%. This clustering around 110-125 million—near 2022's 108 million baseline—reflects historical midterm turnout rates of 45% among eligible voters amid opposition motivation during a Republican presidency. The race stays tight due to volatile factors like presidential approval, economic data on inflation and immigration, and balanced generic ballot trends. Separation could arise from sustained primary momentum, widening polling averages, or GOP base mobilization ahead of November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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