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1, 2 и 3 декабря 2025 года — самые жаркие в истории?

Market icon

1, 2 и 3 декабря 2025 года — самые жаркие в истории?

Четвертое место или ниже 100.0%

Самый жаркий <1%

Второй самый жаркий <1%

Третий по жаре <1%

Polymarket

$325,292 Объем

Четвертое место или ниже 100.0%

Самый жаркий <1%

Второй самый жаркий <1%

Третий по жаре <1%

Polymarket

$325,292 Объем

Самый жаркий

$39,390 Объем

Нет

Второй самый жаркий

$65,349 Объем

Нет

Третий по жаре

$101,904 Объем

Нет

Четвертое место или ниже

$118,649 Объем

Да

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 versus the data points available for all other Decembers on record.

Note: If December 2025 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Объем
$325,292
Дата окончания
Jan 10, 2026
Открытие рынка
Dec 10, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 versus the data points available for all other Decembers on record. Note: If December 2025 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"1, 2 и 3 декабря 2025 года — самые жаркие в истории?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Четвертое место или ниже" at 100%, followed by "Самый жаркий" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "1, 2 и 3 декабря 2025 года — самые жаркие в истории?" has generated $325.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "1, 2 и 3 декабря 2025 года — самые жаркие в истории?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "1, 2 и 3 декабря 2025 года — самые жаркие в истории?" is "Четвертое место или ниже" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Самый жаркий" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "1, 2 и 3 декабря 2025 года — самые жаркие в истории?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.