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Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

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Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

5% acaso
Polymarket

$37,926 Vol.

5% acaso
Polymarket

$37,926 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House narrowly 218-213 on February 11 after Rules Committee approval, but Senate progress has stalled amid unified Democratic opposition and filibuster threats. With Republicans holding a 53-47 majority, the 60-vote cloture threshold remains a formidable barrier, as seen in failed attempts to advance during the week of March 16, reinforced by recent letters from mayors and voting rights groups urging rejection. Traders' near-unanimous 96% "No" consensus reflects this procedural impasse and lack of bipartisan support, despite White House prioritization. Realistic shifts would require unlikely Democratic defections, a rules change, or attachment to must-pass legislation like a continuing resolution before session end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,926
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House narrowly 218-213 on February 11 after Rules Committee approval, but Senate progress has stalled amid unified Democratic opposition and filibuster threats. With Republicans holding a 53-47 majority, the 60-vote cloture threshold remains a formidable barrier, as seen in failed attempts to advance during the week of March 16, reinforced by recent letters from mayors and voting rights groups urging rejection. Traders' near-unanimous 96% "No" consensus reflects this procedural impasse and lack of bipartisan support, despite White House prioritization. Realistic shifts would require unlikely Democratic defections, a rules change, or attachment to must-pass legislation like a continuing resolution before session end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,926
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 5% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 5¢, the market collectively assigns a 5% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?" has generated $37.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?" is 5% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 5% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.