Trader consensus prices a direct meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy by June 30 at just 4% likelihood, reflecting entrenched Russian demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions as a precondition for talks, unmet despite Zelenskyy's repeated expressions of readiness for dialogue. Recent developments, including Zelenskyy's March calls for leader-level engagement and President Erdogan's April 4 offer to host Ukraine-Russia-U.S. discussions—which Zelenskyy accepted—have not elicited positive signals from Moscow amid ongoing Russian military advances like the claimed full control of Luhansk region and stalled envoy-level negotiations tied to Middle East escalations. Absent a major ceasefire or diplomatic breakthrough, such as intensified U.S. mediation, the absence of momentum sustains high confidence in no summit.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$190,665 Vol.
$190,665 Vol.
Sim
$190,665 Vol.
$190,665 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a direct meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy by June 30 at just 4% likelihood, reflecting entrenched Russian demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions as a precondition for talks, unmet despite Zelenskyy's repeated expressions of readiness for dialogue. Recent developments, including Zelenskyy's March calls for leader-level engagement and President Erdogan's April 4 offer to host Ukraine-Russia-U.S. discussions—which Zelenskyy accepted—have not elicited positive signals from Moscow amid ongoing Russian military advances like the claimed full control of Luhansk region and stalled envoy-level negotiations tied to Middle East escalations. Absent a major ceasefire or diplomatic breakthrough, such as intensified U.S. mediation, the absence of momentum sustains high confidence in no summit.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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