U.S. national average gasoline prices have surged above $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions following U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran in late February, which spiked Brent crude above $95 per barrel and fueled supply disruption fears near the Strait of Hormuz. March saw a 34% monthly rise amid spring break travel demand and refinery maintenance, pushing weekly averages from $3.48 to $4.13 according to AAA and EIA data. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over further escalation or de-escalation, with EIA forecasts anticipating moderation to an annual 2026 average of $3.34/gal as inventories rebuild. Key watches include weekly EIA petroleum status reports and diplomatic signals through April 30 resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNOVO
$124,013 Vol.
30 abr 2026
↑ $5,00
6%
↑ $4,75
16%
↑ $4,50
43%
↑ $4,25
72%
↑ $4,15
96%
↓ $3,95
65%
↓ $3,85
37%
↓ $3,75
11%
↓ $3,50
8%
↓ $3,25
7%
↓ $3,00
6%
$124,013 Vol.
↑ $5,00
$1,776 Vol.
6%
↑ $4,75
$896 Vol.
16%
↑ $4,50
$994 Vol.
43%
↑ $4,25
$3,511 Vol.
72%
↑ $4,15
$2,456 Vol.
96%
↓ $3,95
$1,531 Vol.
65%
↓ $3,85
$1,796 Vol.
37%
↓ $3,75
$437 Vol.
11%
↓ $3,50
$0 Vol.
8%
↓ $3,25
$0 Vol.
7%
↓ $3,00
$488 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average gasoline prices have surged above $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions following U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran in late February, which spiked Brent crude above $95 per barrel and fueled supply disruption fears near the Strait of Hormuz. March saw a 34% monthly rise amid spring break travel demand and refinery maintenance, pushing weekly averages from $3.48 to $4.13 according to AAA and EIA data. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over further escalation or de-escalation, with EIA forecasts anticipating moderation to an annual 2026 average of $3.34/gal as inventories rebuild. Key watches include weekly EIA petroleum status reports and diplomatic signals through April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Mercado Aberto: Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$124,013Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average gasoline prices have surged above $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions following U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran in late February, which spiked Brent crude above $95 per barrel and fueled supply disruption fears near the Strait of Hormuz. March saw a 34% monthly rise amid spring break travel demand and refinery maintenance, pushing weekly averages from $3.48 to $4.13 according to AAA and EIA data. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over further escalation or de-escalation, with EIA forecasts anticipating moderation to an annual 2026 average of $3.34/gal as inventories rebuild. Key watches include weekly EIA petroleum status reports and diplomatic signals through April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$124,013Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. national average gasoline prices have surged above $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions following U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran in late February, which spiked Brent crude above $95 per barrel and fueled supply disruption fears near the Strait of Hormuz. March saw a 34% monthly rise amid spring break travel demand and refinery maintenance, pushing weekly averages from $3.48 to $4.13 according to AAA and EIA data. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over further escalation or de-escalation, with EIA forecasts anticipating moderation to an annual 2026 average of $3.34/gal as inventories rebuild. Key watches include weekly EIA petroleum status reports and diplomatic signals through April 30 resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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