Market icon

O gás atingirá __ até o final de abril?

Market icon

O gás atingirá __ até o final de abril?

abr 30

abr 30

NOVO

$124,132 Vol.

30 abr 2026
Polymarket

$124,132 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5,00

$1,835 Vol.

5%

↑ $4,75

$896 Vol.

16%

↑ $4,50

$999 Vol.

43%

↑ $4,25

$3,511 Vol.

72%

↑ $4,15

$2,456 Vol.

96%

↓ $3,95

$1,586 Vol.

45%

↓ $3,85

$1,796 Vol.

33%

↓ $3,75

$437 Vol.

12%

↓ $3,50

$0 Vol.

8%

↓ $3,25

$0 Vol.

7%

↓ $3,00

$488 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US average gasoline prices stand at $4.06 per gallon as of April 1, per AAA data, after surging over 35% in March amid the US-Israel war on Iran that began with airstrikes on February 28. Ongoing day-33 escalations—including recent US-Israeli strikes on Iranian industrial sites and Tehran's retaliatory attacks on the USS Abraham Lincoln—have kept crude oil above $100 per barrel, disrupting flows through the Strait of Hormuz despite robust domestic production. Spring driving season demand adds upward pressure, while EIA forecasts anticipate moderation if tensions ease; however, Iran's rejection of a US 15-point ceasefire proposal signals persistent risks through April 30 resolution. Traders weigh de-escalation signals against proxy actions by Houthis and Hezbollah.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$124,132
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US average gasoline prices stand at $4.06 per gallon as of April 1, per AAA data, after surging over 35% in March amid the US-Israel war on Iran that began with airstrikes on February 28. Ongoing day-33 escalations—including recent US-Israeli strikes on Iranian industrial sites and Tehran's retaliatory attacks on the USS Abraham Lincoln—have kept crude oil above $100 per barrel, disrupting flows through the Strait of Hormuz despite robust domestic production. Spring driving season demand adds upward pressure, while EIA forecasts anticipate moderation if tensions ease; however, Iran's rejection of a US 15-point ceasefire proposal signals persistent risks through April 30 resolution. Traders weigh de-escalation signals against proxy actions by Houthis and Hezbollah.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$124,132
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O gás atingirá __ até o final de abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ $4,05" at 100%, followed by "↑ $4,15" at 96%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O gás atingirá __ até o final de abril?" has generated $124.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O gás atingirá __ até o final de abril?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O gás atingirá __ até o final de abril?" is "↑ $4,05" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ $4,15" at 96%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O gás atingirá __ até o final de abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.