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Geopolítica·Médio Oriente

Will Beirut airport close by August 5?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Médio Oriente

Will Beirut airport close by August 5?

2% chance
Polymarket

$30,270 Vol.

2% chance
Polymarket

$30,270 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Beirut–Rafic Hariri International Airport is closed to all commercial flights for 12 or more consecutive hours at any point between July 29 and August 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any total closure of civilian air traffic during which no takeoffs or departures are permitted for at least 12 consecutive hours will result in this market resolving to "Yes", regardless of cause. If a closure begins within the market's timeframe, the market will remain open until the airport reopens or until 12 consecutive hours of closure are reached. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Lebanese government and statements released by the airport, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Beirut–Rafic Hariri International Airport is closed to all commercial flights for 12 or more consecutive hours at any point between July 29 and August 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any total closure of civilian air traffic during which no takeoffs or departures are permitted for at least 12 consecutive hours will result in this market resolving to "Yes", regardless of cause. If a closure begins within the market's timeframe, the market will remain open until the airport reopens or until 12 consecutive hours of closure are reached. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Lebanese government and statements released by the airport, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Beirut airport close by August 5?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Beirut airport close by August 5?" has generated $30.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 30, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Beirut airport close by August 5?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Beirut airport close by August 5?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Beirut airport close by August 5?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.