Trader consensus prices "No" at 86%, reflecting the absence of escalating diplomatic crises that historically trigger ambassador expulsions, such as espionage accusations, sanctions retaliation, or severed ties. In mid-March, South Africa summoned U.S. Ambassador Leo Brent Bozell III for undiplomatic remarks on local chants but stopped short of expulsion, echoing last year's mutual rebukes without further escalation. Recent U.S. evacuations of diplomats from Middle East posts amid Iranian threats remain precautionary, with no reciprocal expulsions reported. The U.S. reopening its Venezuela embassy signals thawing relations elsewhere. Absent major ruptures like those in prior Venezuela or Russia standoffs, traders anticipate stability through December 31.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 86%, reflecting the absence of escalating diplomatic crises that historically trigger ambassador expulsions, such as espionage accusations, sanctions retaliation, or severed ties. In mid-March, South Africa summoned U.S. Ambassador Leo Brent Bozell III for undiplomatic remarks on local chants but stopped short of expulsion, echoing last year's mutual rebukes without further escalation. Recent U.S. evacuations of diplomats from Middle East posts amid Iranian threats remain precautionary, with no reciprocal expulsions reported. The U.S. reopening its Venezuela embassy signals thawing relations elsewhere. Absent major ruptures like those in prior Venezuela or Russia standoffs, traders anticipate stability through December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Volume
$481Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 86%, reflecting the absence of escalating diplomatic crises that historically trigger ambassador expulsions, such as espionage accusations, sanctions retaliation, or severed ties. In mid-March, South Africa summoned U.S. Ambassador Leo Brent Bozell III for undiplomatic remarks on local chants but stopped short of expulsion, echoing last year's mutual rebukes without further escalation. Recent U.S. evacuations of diplomats from Middle East posts amid Iranian threats remain precautionary, with no reciprocal expulsions reported. The U.S. reopening its Venezuela embassy signals thawing relations elsewhere. Absent major ruptures like those in prior Venezuela or Russia standoffs, traders anticipate stability through December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$481Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 86%, reflecting the absence of escalating diplomatic crises that historically trigger ambassador expulsions, such as espionage accusations, sanctions retaliation, or severed ties. In mid-March, South Africa summoned U.S. Ambassador Leo Brent Bozell III for undiplomatic remarks on local chants but stopped short of expulsion, echoing last year's mutual rebukes without further escalation. Recent U.S. evacuations of diplomats from Middle East posts amid Iranian threats remain precautionary, with no reciprocal expulsions reported. The U.S. reopening its Venezuela embassy signals thawing relations elsewhere. Absent major ruptures like those in prior Venezuela or Russia standoffs, traders anticipate stability through December 31.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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