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Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão até 31 de março?

Market icon

Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão até 31 de março?

Sim

<1% acaso
Polymarket

$209,539 Vol.

Sim

<1% acaso
Polymarket

$209,539 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already apart of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.With the March 31 deadline now passed without any official announcement of a new country acceding to the Abraham Accords, traders reflect near-certain consensus at 100% on "No," as no diplomatic normalization agreements materialized. Kazakhstan's formal joining in November 2025 marked the latest expansion amid the second Trump administration's push, but subsequent progress stalled due to entrenched regional tensions, including the protracted Gaza conflict and stalled Israel-Saudi Arabia talks over security guarantees and Palestinian statehood. Persistent interest from Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others remains unfulfilled without breakthroughs, reinforcing trader confidence. Only an extraordinary late diplomatic revelation could challenge resolution, though none has surfaced in the ensuing days.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already apart of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$209,539
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already apart of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Contestado

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already apart of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.With the March 31 deadline now passed without any official announcement of a new country acceding to the Abraham Accords, traders reflect near-certain consensus at 100% on "No," as no diplomatic normalization agreements materialized. Kazakhstan's formal joining in November 2025 marked the latest expansion amid the second Trump administration's push, but subsequent progress stalled due to entrenched regional tensions, including the protracted Gaza conflict and stalled Israel-Saudi Arabia talks over security guarantees and Palestinian statehood. Persistent interest from Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others remains unfulfilled without breakthroughs, reinforcing trader confidence. Only an extraordinary late diplomatic revelation could challenge resolution, though none has surfaced in the ensuing days.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already apart of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$209,539
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already apart of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Contestado

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão até 31 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Um novo país aderirá aos Acordos de Abraão até 31 de março?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão até 31 de março?" has generated $209.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão até 31 de março?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão até 31 de março?" is "Um novo país aderirá aos Acordos de Abraão até 31 de março?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Um novo país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão até 31 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.