Market icon
Política·Trump

Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?

Market icon
Política·Trump

Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?

$157,953 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$157,953 Vol.

Polymarket

Stefan Brodie

$0 Vol.

66%

Donald Brodie

$0 Vol.

64%

Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

50%

Daniel Penny

$1 Vol.

40%

Young Thug

$3,983 Vol.

39%

Ryan Salame

$15,064 Vol.

29%

Roger Ver

$0 Vol.

17%

Steve Bannon

$0 Vol.

19%

Keonne Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

26%

Elizabeth Holmes

$915 Vol.

14%

Martin Shkreli

$2,795 Vol.

13%

Eric Adams

$60 Vol.

11%

Nicolás Maduro

$5,940 Vol.

11%

Do Kwon

$15,747 Vol.

10%

Hunter Biden

$2,046 Vol.

8%

Bob Menendez

$0 Vol.

26%

Elon Musk

$48,630 Vol.

8%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$9,573 Vol.

8%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$35,026 Vol.

7%

Derek Chauvin

$6,319 Vol.

7%

Diddy

$5,826 Vol.

7%

Edward Snowden

$1,748 Vol.

15%

Antoine Massey

$0 Vol.

5%

Joe Exotic

$330 Vol.

14%

Julian Assange

$1,500 Vol.

10%

Ele mesmo

$2,448 Vol.

9%

Roger Stone

$0 Vol.

38%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's expansive use of Article II pardon power for federal offenses has defined trader sentiment in this market, with over 1,600 clemencies granted since January 2025, including blanket pardons for January 6 Capitol riot defendants on inauguration day, allies like Rudy Giuliani, Sidney Powell, and Mark Meadows implicated in 2020 election challenges, and dozens of white-collar offenders convicted of fraud, money laundering, and bribery. Recent batches in January-February 2026 pardoned figures such as Terren Peizer for securities fraud and former NFL players for drug conspiracies, often linked to donors or loyalists, waiving billions in restitution. No new grants in the past 30 days as of early April 2026, but ongoing federal cases against high-profile individuals like Elizabeth Holmes and Bob Menendez fuel speculation, with pardons possible anytime before 2027 absent formal process constraints.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$157,953
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's expansive use of Article II pardon power for federal offenses has defined trader sentiment in this market, with over 1,600 clemencies granted since January 2025, including blanket pardons for January 6 Capitol riot defendants on inauguration day, allies like Rudy Giuliani, Sidney Powell, and Mark Meadows implicated in 2020 election challenges, and dozens of white-collar offenders convicted of fraud, money laundering, and bribery. Recent batches in January-February 2026 pardoned figures such as Terren Peizer for securities fraud and former NFL players for drug conspiracies, often linked to donors or loyalists, waiving billions in restitution. No new grants in the past 30 days as of early April 2026, but ongoing federal cases against high-profile individuals like Elizabeth Holmes and Bob Menendez fuel speculation, with pardons possible anytime before 2027 absent formal process constraints.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$157,953
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 27 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Stefan Brodie" at 66%, followed by "Donald Brodie" at 64%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?" has generated $158K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?," browse the 27 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?" is "Stefan Brodie" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Donald Brodie" at 64%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.