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Política·Trump

Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?

Market icon
Política·Trump

Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?

$1,683,660 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$1,683,660 Vol.

Polymarket

Kevin Spacey

$28,381 Vol.

16%

Woody Allen

$12,973 Vol.

13%

Steve Bannon

$58,079 Vol.

12%

Deepak Chopra

$12,853 Vol.

11%

Steven Tisch

$4,737 Vol.

10%

Bill Gates

$100,496 Vol.

8%

Bill Clinton

$264,295 Vol.

8%

Noam Chomsky

$25,801 Vol.

8%

Bill Cosby

$9,404 Vol.

5%

Harvey Weinstein

$18,767 Vol.

5%

Hillary Clinton

$39,857 Vol.

4%

Donald Trump

$133,609 Vol.

4%

Michael Jackson

$156,303 Vol.

4%

Jay-Z

$579,325 Vol.

3%

Peter Attia

$6,969 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$81,829 Vol.

2%

Marco Rubio

$21,680 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Who visited Epstein's Island?" market reflects low implied probabilities—Deepak Chopra at 19%, Kevin Spacey and Woody Allen at 14%—driven by the U.S. Department of Justice's early 2026 releases of over three million Epstein files under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which named prominent figures like Bill Clinton and Bill Gates but offered no new flight logs, photographs, court records, or sworn testimony confirming Little St. James visits for most outcomes. The April 2 firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi by President Trump has sparked concerns over delays in remaining disclosures, amid prior public flight logs from 2019 and recent media reports verifying Richard Branson's 2013 island tour. With resolution by June 30, 2026, congressional hearings or additional DOJ actions could shift odds, though evidentiary hurdles remain high.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,683,660
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Who visited Epstein's Island?" market reflects low implied probabilities—Deepak Chopra at 19%, Kevin Spacey and Woody Allen at 14%—driven by the U.S. Department of Justice's early 2026 releases of over three million Epstein files under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which named prominent figures like Bill Clinton and Bill Gates but offered no new flight logs, photographs, court records, or sworn testimony confirming Little St. James visits for most outcomes. The April 2 firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi by President Trump has sparked concerns over delays in remaining disclosures, amid prior public flight logs from 2019 and recent media reports verifying Richard Branson's 2013 island tour. With resolution by June 30, 2026, congressional hearings or additional DOJ actions could shift odds, though evidentiary hurdles remain high.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,683,660
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Richard Branson" at 100%, followed by "Kevin Spacey" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?" is "Richard Branson" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kevin Spacey" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem visitou a Ilha de Epstein?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.