Trader consensus strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 80%, driven by the absence of any public announcements, invitations, or confirmed diplomatic scheduling amid ongoing Russia-Ukraine war tensions, U.S. sanctions, and Putin's ICC arrest warrant restricting travel to venues like the United States, EU countries, or Ukraine. Post-inauguration in January, President Trump prioritized Middle East diplomacy—including Saudi Arabia talks—and domestic executive actions, while Putin focused on military escalations in Ukraine, including recent Kharkiv advances reported in late May. No bilateral summits have materialized despite early post-election phone contacts and mutual expressions of dialogue readiness; low odds on alternatives like Gulf countries or Turkey reflect logistical barriers and lack of venue momentum, with potential for shifts via surprise de-escalation signals or neutral-site negotiations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNenhum encontro até 30 de junho 80.4%
Outro país da UE 3.0%
Outro 2.7%
Rússia 2.1%
$2,800,546 Vol.
$2,800,546 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 30 de junho
80%

Outro país da UE
3%

Outro
3%

Rússia
2%

Estados Unidos
2%

País do Golfo
2%

China
2%

Turquia
1%

Bielorrússia
1%

Japão
<1%

Suíça
<1%

Coreia do Sul
<1%

Finlândia
<1%

Ucrânia
<1%

Austrália
<1%
Nenhum encontro até 30 de junho 80.4%
Outro país da UE 3.0%
Outro 2.7%
Rússia 2.1%
$2,800,546 Vol.
$2,800,546 Vol.

Nenhum encontro até 30 de junho
80%

Outro país da UE
3%

Outro
3%

Rússia
2%

Estados Unidos
2%

País do Golfo
2%

China
2%

Turquia
1%

Bielorrússia
1%

Japão
<1%

Suíça
<1%

Coreia do Sul
<1%

Finlândia
<1%

Ucrânia
<1%

Austrália
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 80%, driven by the absence of any public announcements, invitations, or confirmed diplomatic scheduling amid ongoing Russia-Ukraine war tensions, U.S. sanctions, and Putin's ICC arrest warrant restricting travel to venues like the United States, EU countries, or Ukraine. Post-inauguration in January, President Trump prioritized Middle East diplomacy—including Saudi Arabia talks—and domestic executive actions, while Putin focused on military escalations in Ukraine, including recent Kharkiv advances reported in late May. No bilateral summits have materialized despite early post-election phone contacts and mutual expressions of dialogue readiness; low odds on alternatives like Gulf countries or Turkey reflect logistical barriers and lack of venue momentum, with potential for shifts via surprise de-escalation signals or neutral-site negotiations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions