Trader consensus favors Pakistan at 37% for hosting the next US-Iran indirect diplomatic meeting, driven by late-March 2026 announcements from Islamabad that it will facilitate talks "in coming days" amid the US-Israel war on Iran, following a regional summit there on March 29 with diplomats from Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Pakistan to urge de-escalation—though without US or Iranian attendance. Oman's 21% reflects its prior mediation role in February's Geneva nuclear talks, which yielded no deal. No meeting by June 30 holds 26.5% amid Iran's dismissal of US proposals, ongoing airstrikes, and threats of ground invasion, heightening uncertainty despite backchannel messages relayed via Pakistan. Turkey's involvement trails at 10.1%.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoOnde acontecerá a próxima reunião diplomática EUA-Irã?
Onde acontecerá a próxima reunião diplomática EUA-Irã?
Paquistão 37%
Nenhuma reunião até 30 de junho 27%
Omã 21.0%
Turquia 10.2%
$446,094 Vol.
$446,094 Vol.
Paquistão
37%
Nenhuma reunião até 30 de junho
27%
Omã
21%
Turquia
10%
Irã
2%
Rússia
2%
Catar
1%
Egito
1%
Outro - Europa
1%
Suíça
1%
Iraque
1%
Itália
1%
Outro
1%
Outro - Oriente Médio/Norte da África
<1%
Emirados Árabes Unidos
<1%
Cazaquistão
<1%
Arábia Saudita
<1%
Áustria
<1%
EUA
<1%
Paquistão 37%
Nenhuma reunião até 30 de junho 27%
Omã 21.0%
Turquia 10.2%
$446,094 Vol.
$446,094 Vol.
Paquistão
37%
Nenhuma reunião até 30 de junho
27%
Omã
21%
Turquia
10%
Irã
2%
Rússia
2%
Catar
1%
Egito
1%
Outro - Europa
1%
Suíça
1%
Iraque
1%
Itália
1%
Outro
1%
Outro - Oriente Médio/Norte da África
<1%
Emirados Árabes Unidos
<1%
Cazaquistão
<1%
Arábia Saudita
<1%
Áustria
<1%
EUA
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Pakistan at 37% for hosting the next US-Iran indirect diplomatic meeting, driven by late-March 2026 announcements from Islamabad that it will facilitate talks "in coming days" amid the US-Israel war on Iran, following a regional summit there on March 29 with diplomats from Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Pakistan to urge de-escalation—though without US or Iranian attendance. Oman's 21% reflects its prior mediation role in February's Geneva nuclear talks, which yielded no deal. No meeting by June 30 holds 26.5% amid Iran's dismissal of US proposals, ongoing airstrikes, and threats of ground invasion, heightening uncertainty despite backchannel messages relayed via Pakistan. Turkey's involvement trails at 10.1%.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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