US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

71%

December 31

$87M Vol.

$4M today

$2M Liq.

1,430

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

14%

$108K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

6

Ends em 3 meses

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

41%

$84.4K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

4

Ends em 3 meses

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

43%

June 30

$437K Vol.

$45.4K Liq.

7

Ends em 3 meses

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

28%

Leadership Change

$32.6K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

5

Ends em 9 meses

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

13%

$59.2K Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

4

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

47%

No Meeting by June 30

$547K Vol.

$213K Liq.

10

Ends em 3 meses

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

55%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$93.0K Liq.

Ends há 4 dias

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

9%

April 30

$291K Vol.

$56.0K Liq.

6

Ends em 26 dias

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

83%

December 31

$13M Vol.

$819K today

$775K Liq.

380

Ends há 4 dias

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

73%

June 30

$12M Vol.

$484K today

$551K Liq.

224

Ends em 3 meses

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

15%

$348K Vol.

$168K today

$128K Liq.

8

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

3%

$280K Vol.

$66.6K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

26%

December 31

$90.4K Vol.

$100K Liq.

1

Ends em 9 meses

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

5%

$209K Vol.

$86.3K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

15%

$167K Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?

6%

April 10

$135K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

24%

$967K Vol.

$51.4K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

14%

April 30

$53.0K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

18

Ends em 26 dias

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

13%

$160 Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Cessar Fogo No IrãO.

Polymarket currently hosts 123 active markets for Cessar Fogo No IrãO that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Iran ceasefire by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $116.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran ceasefire by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran ceasefire by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 71% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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