Trader consensus favors "Coward" at 20% implied probability in this multi-outcome market tracking specific phrases President Trump utters in verified public remarks through March 31, 2026, buoyed by his rhetorical history targeting opponents amid ongoing fraud probes and policy fights, while "War On Fraud," "UFC Fight," and "Third term" hover around 12-16% on patterns from prior addresses. Recent FII Priority Summit speech on March 27 in Miami—focusing on Iran decimation, Saudi partnerships, and military successes—confirmed earlier "Sudan" mention but omitted top phrases, tempering odds despite cabinet meeting discussions March 26. With two days left, unscheduled press gaggles or Oval Office statements could shift probabilities based on Trump's foreign policy and domestic priority emphasis.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$153,447 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Big Fat Cat
5%
N Word
2%
Hottest Nation
10%
Little Rocket Man
3%
China Virus / Wuhan Lab
4%
Low Energy
10%
Aliens are Real
1%
Kanye / Taylor Swift
4%
Banana Republic
6%
Judy Shelton
2%
Secret Word
5%
Charlie Kirk
11%
War On Fraud
11%
Coward
17%
Capital of the World
8%
UFC Fight
12%
Liberation Day
6%
Sudan
16%
Truth Social
12%
Erika Kirk
6%
Third term
12%
$153,447 Vol.
Big Fat Cat
$879 Vol.
5%
N Word
$35,073 Vol.
2%
Hottest Nation
$11,004 Vol.
10%
Little Rocket Man
$1,492 Vol.
3%
China Virus / Wuhan Lab
$873 Vol.
4%
Low Energy
$4,735 Vol.
10%
Aliens are Real
$9,424 Vol.
1%
Kanye / Taylor Swift
$1,574 Vol.
4%
Banana Republic
$1,339 Vol.
6%
Judy Shelton
$1,861 Vol.
2%
Secret Word
$166 Vol.
5%
Charlie Kirk
$4,269 Vol.
11%
War On Fraud
$334 Vol.
11%
Coward
$5,303 Vol.
17%
Capital of the World
$927 Vol.
8%
UFC Fight
$1,172 Vol.
12%
Liberation Day
$626 Vol.
6%
Sudan
$317 Vol.
16%
Truth Social
$5,971 Vol.
12%
Erika Kirk
$446 Vol.
6%
Third term
$18,338 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus favors "Coward" at 20% implied probability in this multi-outcome market tracking specific phrases President Trump utters in verified public remarks through March 31, 2026, buoyed by his rhetorical history targeting opponents amid ongoing fraud probes and policy fights, while "War On Fraud," "UFC Fight," and "Third term" hover around 12-16% on patterns from prior addresses. Recent FII Priority Summit speech on March 27 in Miami—focusing on Iran decimation, Saudi partnerships, and military successes—confirmed earlier "Sudan" mention but omitted top phrases, tempering odds despite cabinet meeting discussions March 26. With two days left, unscheduled press gaggles or Oval Office statements could shift probabilities based on Trump's foreign policy and domestic priority emphasis.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volume
$153,447Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus favors "Coward" at 20% implied probability in this multi-outcome market tracking specific phrases President Trump utters in verified public remarks through March 31, 2026, buoyed by his rhetorical history targeting opponents amid ongoing fraud probes and policy fights, while "War On Fraud," "UFC Fight," and "Third term" hover around 12-16% on patterns from prior addresses. Recent FII Priority Summit speech on March 27 in Miami—focusing on Iran decimation, Saudi partnerships, and military successes—confirmed earlier "Sudan" mention but omitted top phrases, tempering odds despite cabinet meeting discussions March 26. With two days left, unscheduled press gaggles or Oval Office statements could shift probabilities based on Trump's foreign policy and domestic priority emphasis.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$153,447Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "Coward" at 20% implied probability in this multi-outcome market tracking specific phrases President Trump utters in verified public remarks through March 31, 2026, buoyed by his rhetorical history targeting opponents amid ongoing fraud probes and policy fights, while "War On Fraud," "UFC Fight," and "Third term" hover around 12-16% on patterns from prior addresses. Recent FII Priority Summit speech on March 27 in Miami—focusing on Iran decimation, Saudi partnerships, and military successes—confirmed earlier "Sudan" mention but omitted top phrases, tempering odds despite cabinet meeting discussions March 26. With two days left, unscheduled press gaggles or Oval Office statements could shift probabilities based on Trump's foreign policy and domestic priority emphasis.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions