Trader consensus favors "No" at 79.5% implied probability for a US Congress stock trading ban before 2027, reflecting repeated legislative stalls despite bipartisan introductions like the Stop Insider Trading Act (H.R.7008), ETHICS Act (H.R.4890), and recent No Getting Rich in Congress Act in early March 2026. A March 31 Roll Call report detailed a brief House push for a floor vote on H.R.1908 that fizzled amid loophole concerns and partisan divides, echoing January's party-line committee advance of a weaker Republican bill. Lawmakers' self-interest and insufficient whip counts have historically blocked stronger reforms, with a new Restore Trust in Congress Act proposed April 2 unlikely to overcome 119th Congress lame-duck hurdles by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$16,309 Vol.
$16,309 Vol.
Sim
$16,309 Vol.
$16,309 Vol.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 79.5% implied probability for a US Congress stock trading ban before 2027, reflecting repeated legislative stalls despite bipartisan introductions like the Stop Insider Trading Act (H.R.7008), ETHICS Act (H.R.4890), and recent No Getting Rich in Congress Act in early March 2026. A March 31 Roll Call report detailed a brief House push for a floor vote on H.R.1908 that fizzled amid loophole concerns and partisan divides, echoing January's party-line committee advance of a weaker Republican bill. Lawmakers' self-interest and insufficient whip counts have historically blocked stronger reforms, with a new Restore Trust in Congress Act proposed April 2 unlikely to overcome 119th Congress lame-duck hurdles by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions