Market icon

Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?

Market icon

Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

16% acaso
Polymarket

$16,309 Vol.

Sim

16% acaso
Polymarket

$16,309 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Trader consensus favors "No" at 79.5% implied probability for a US Congress stock trading ban before 2027, reflecting repeated legislative stalls despite bipartisan introductions like the Stop Insider Trading Act (H.R.7008), ETHICS Act (H.R.4890), and recent No Getting Rich in Congress Act in early March 2026. A March 31 Roll Call report detailed a brief House push for a floor vote on H.R.1908 that fizzled amid loophole concerns and partisan divides, echoing January's party-line committee advance of a weaker Republican bill. Lawmakers' self-interest and insufficient whip counts have historically blocked stronger reforms, with a new Restore Trust in Congress Act proposed April 2 unlikely to overcome 119th Congress lame-duck hurdles by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$16,309
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Trader consensus favors "No" at 79.5% implied probability for a US Congress stock trading ban before 2027, reflecting repeated legislative stalls despite bipartisan introductions like the Stop Insider Trading Act (H.R.7008), ETHICS Act (H.R.4890), and recent No Getting Rich in Congress Act in early March 2026. A March 31 Roll Call report detailed a brief House push for a floor vote on H.R.1908 that fizzled amid loophole concerns and partisan divides, echoing January's party-line committee advance of a weaker Republican bill. Lawmakers' self-interest and insufficient whip counts have historically blocked stronger reforms, with a new Restore Trust in Congress Act proposed April 2 unlikely to overcome 119th Congress lame-duck hurdles by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$16,309
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Proibição de negociação de ações pelo Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?" has generated $16.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?" is "Proibição de negociação de ações pelo Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.