Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed March 9 after his father Ali's death amid the US-Israel-Iran war, has avoided all public appearances for nearly a month, with no new photographs, videos, or personal audio released. Russian Ambassador Alexey Dedov confirmed yesterday that Khamenei remains in Iran but refrains from public view "for understandable security reasons" during ongoing hostilities. Attributed written statements on foreign policy and support for allies like Hezbollah have aired on state TV, alongside archival footage, but skepticism persists over his health or possible injuries from strikes. Trader consensus prices a 39% chance of appearance by May 31 and 24% by April's end, reflecting war risks and regime consolidation pressures ahead of potential de-escalation talks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?
Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?
$770,693 Vol.
April 30
27%
31 de maio
38%
$770,693 Vol.
April 30
27%
31 de maio
38%
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed March 9 after his father Ali's death amid the US-Israel-Iran war, has avoided all public appearances for nearly a month, with no new photographs, videos, or personal audio released. Russian Ambassador Alexey Dedov confirmed yesterday that Khamenei remains in Iran but refrains from public view "for understandable security reasons" during ongoing hostilities. Attributed written statements on foreign policy and support for allies like Hezbollah have aired on state TV, alongside archival footage, but skepticism persists over his health or possible injuries from strikes. Trader consensus prices a 39% chance of appearance by May 31 and 24% by April's end, reflecting war risks and regime consolidation pressures ahead of potential de-escalation talks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions