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Geopolítica·Israel

Israel e Síria normalizam as relações por...?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Israel

Israel e Síria normalizam as relações por...?

$1,721,490 Vol.

31 dez 2025
Polymarket

$1,721,490 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho de 2026

$296,752 Vol.

7%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$587,472 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa stated three days ago that Israel backed out of normalization talks at the last minute despite prior progress, underscoring ongoing barriers to diplomatic relations amid Israel's maintenance of security zones in southern Syria to block Iranian entrenchment. The post-Assad transitional government prioritizes stability and economic ties, eyeing potential Abraham Accords expansion, but faces Israeli skepticism over regime durability and Golan Heights disputes. Recent Israeli strikes linked to US-Iran escalation have heightened tensions, while Syria vows neutrality. UN Security Council briefings this month may shape diplomatic paths, though mutual security guarantees and territorial issues persist as key hurdles for any agreement by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,721,490
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa stated three days ago that Israel backed out of normalization talks at the last minute despite prior progress, underscoring ongoing barriers to diplomatic relations amid Israel's maintenance of security zones in southern Syria to block Iranian entrenchment. The post-Assad transitional government prioritizes stability and economic ties, eyeing potential Abraham Accords expansion, but faces Israeli skepticism over regime durability and Golan Heights disputes. Recent Israeli strikes linked to US-Iran escalation have heightened tensions, while Syria vows neutrality. UN Security Council briefings this month may shape diplomatic paths, though mutual security guarantees and territorial issues persist as key hurdles for any agreement by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,721,490
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Israel e Síria normalizam as relações por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 16%, followed by "30 de junho de 2026" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Israel e Síria normalizam as relações por...?" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Israel e Síria normalizam as relações por...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Israel e Síria normalizam as relações por...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho de 2026" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Israel e Síria normalizam as relações por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.