Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 27 de março?

Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 27 de março?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

11°C 38.5%

12°C 32%

10°C 17.7%

13°C 12.5%

Polymarket

$392,731 Vol.

11°C 38.5%

12°C 32%

10°C 17.7%

13°C 12.5%

Polymarket

$392,731 Vol.

6°C ou menos

$118,986 Vol.

<1%

7°C

$45,138 Vol.

<1%

8°C

$43,606 Vol.

<1%

9°C

$46,950 Vol.

<1%

10°C

$19,625 Vol.

18%

11°C

$16,029 Vol.

39%

12°C

$23,211 Vol.

32%

13°C

$16,317 Vol.

13%

14°C

$13,483 Vol.

10%

15°C

$18,814 Vol.

1%

16°C ou mais

$30,799 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (33%) and 12°C (27%) as Seoul's highest temperature on March 27, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecast models projecting daytime highs in that narrow range amid lingering cool spring air masses. Recent KMA updates and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models show a tight clustering around 10–13°C, driven by weak high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula suppressing stronger warming, with light southerly winds capping peaks below 14°C. Historical March 27 averages hover near 11°C, aligning with current climatological normals, though model spread introduces uncertainty—10°C gains traction (18%) if cloud cover increases, while 13°C+ recedes due to limited solar heating potential. Daily KMA advisories expected through resolution highlight key variables like overnight lows and diurnal temperature swings.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$392,731
Data de Término
Mar 27, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Resultado proposto: Não

Janela de disputa

Final

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (33%) and 12°C (27%) as Seoul's highest temperature on March 27, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecast models projecting daytime highs in that narrow range amid lingering cool spring air masses. Recent KMA updates and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models show a tight clustering around 10–13°C, driven by weak high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula suppressing stronger warming, with light southerly winds capping peaks below 14°C. Historical March 27 averages hover near 11°C, aligning with current climatological normals, though model spread introduces uncertainty—10°C gains traction (18%) if cloud cover increases, while 13°C+ recedes due to limited solar heating potential. Daily KMA advisories expected through resolution highlight key variables like overnight lows and diurnal temperature swings.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (33%) and 12°C (27%) as Seoul's highest temperature on March 27, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecast models projecting daytime highs in that narrow range amid lingering cool spring air masses. Recent KMA updates and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models show a tight clustering around 10–13°C, driven by weak high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula suppressing stronger warming, with light southerly winds capping peaks below 14°C. Historical March 27 averages hover near 11°C, aligning with current climatological normals, though model spread introduces uncertainty—10°C gains traction (18%) if cloud cover increases, while 13°C+ recedes due to limited solar heating potential. Daily KMA advisories expected through resolution highlight key variables like overnight lows and diurnal temperature swings.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 27 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "11°C" at 39%, followed by "12°C" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 27 de março?" has generated $392.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 27 de março?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 27 de março?" is "11°C" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12°C" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 27 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.