Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 43% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 54-55°F at 33.5%, reflecting tight forecast model spreads from the National Weather Service and NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) runs as of March 26. Cool marine air from a lingering low-pressure trough off the Pacific keeps highs in the mid-50s, with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating—differentiating the top bins by just 1-2°F amid typical spring variability. Ensemble models show slight disagreement on boundary layer mixing and afternoon clearing, introducing uncertainty; historical March 27 averages hover around 55°F. Watch NWS updates at 5 AM/11 AM PST for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official Sea-Tac observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle em 27 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Seattle em 27 de março?
56-57°F 43%
54-55°F 34%
58-59°F 9.8%
52-53°F 7%
$30,750 Vol.
$30,750 Vol.
45°F ou menos
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
2%
52-53°F
7%
54-55°F
34%
56-57°F
43%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
1%
64°F ou mais
<1%
56-57°F 43%
54-55°F 34%
58-59°F 9.8%
52-53°F 7%
$30,750 Vol.
$30,750 Vol.
45°F ou menos
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
2%
52-53°F
7%
54-55°F
34%
56-57°F
43%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
1%
64°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 43% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 54-55°F at 33.5%, reflecting tight forecast model spreads from the National Weather Service and NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) runs as of March 26. Cool marine air from a lingering low-pressure trough off the Pacific keeps highs in the mid-50s, with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating—differentiating the top bins by just 1-2°F amid typical spring variability. Ensemble models show slight disagreement on boundary layer mixing and afternoon clearing, introducing uncertainty; historical March 27 averages hover around 55°F. Watch NWS updates at 5 AM/11 AM PST for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official Sea-Tac observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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