Latest Met Office forecasts and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models project a maximum temperature of 13-15°C for London today, anchoring trader sentiment with 14°C at 59% and 15°C at 39% implied probabilities. This consensus stems from partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate solar insolation limited by lingering post-frontal cloud cover following March's warmer anomalies (up to 19°C). Early April climatology supports these levels, with historical Heathrow maxima averaging 13°C amid variable spring patterns. Recent 10-day outlooks highlight changeable weather with drier interludes, but no heat drivers like high pressure dominance. Hourly observations and afternoon model updates from NOAA and UKMO could shift probabilities as solar heating peaks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in London on April 1?
Highest temperature in London on April 1?
14°C 64%
15°C 33%
16°C 4.3%
17°C <1%
$195,602 Vol.
$195,602 Vol.
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
64%
15°C
33%
16°C
4%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 64%
15°C 33%
16°C 4.3%
17°C <1%
$195,602 Vol.
$195,602 Vol.
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
64%
15°C
33%
16°C
4%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office forecasts and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models project a maximum temperature of 13-15°C for London today, anchoring trader sentiment with 14°C at 59% and 15°C at 39% implied probabilities. This consensus stems from partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate solar insolation limited by lingering post-frontal cloud cover following March's warmer anomalies (up to 19°C). Early April climatology supports these levels, with historical Heathrow maxima averaging 13°C amid variable spring patterns. Recent 10-day outlooks highlight changeable weather with drier interludes, but no heat drivers like high pressure dominance. Hourly observations and afternoon model updates from NOAA and UKMO could shift probabilities as solar heating peaks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions