Trader consensus favors DISY at 64% implied probability to win the most seats in Cyprus's May 24 House of Representatives election under proportional representation across six districts, despite latest opinion polls showing a statistical tie with AKEL at around 23% vote intention each. A MRC Cypronetwork poll on April 16 confirmed the deadlock, with ELAM rising to 15%, DIKO and ALMA at 9-10%, and roughly 25% undecided voters—many prior DISY or AKEL backers—poised to tip the balance amid low trust in party leaders. DISY's historical edge in larger districts like Nicosia and Limassol drives the market lead, as fragmented support for smaller parties like EDEK and KOSP limits their seat gains, while record candidate numbers and new voter registrations heighten turnout uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Representantes do Chipre
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Representantes do Chipre
DISY 64%
AKEL 31%
DIKO 3.4%
EDEK 1.8%
$12,598 Vol.
$12,598 Vol.
DISY
64%
AKEL
31%
DIKO
3%
EDEK
2%
KOSP
1%
DIPA
1%
ELAM
1%
VOLT
<1%
DNM (DEK)
<1%
DISY 64%
AKEL 31%
DIKO 3.4%
EDEK 1.8%
$12,598 Vol.
$12,598 Vol.
DISY
64%
AKEL
31%
DIKO
3%
EDEK
2%
KOSP
1%
DIPA
1%
ELAM
1%
VOLT
<1%
DNM (DEK)
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors DISY at 64% implied probability to win the most seats in Cyprus's May 24 House of Representatives election under proportional representation across six districts, despite latest opinion polls showing a statistical tie with AKEL at around 23% vote intention each. A MRC Cypronetwork poll on April 16 confirmed the deadlock, with ELAM rising to 15%, DIKO and ALMA at 9-10%, and roughly 25% undecided voters—many prior DISY or AKEL backers—poised to tip the balance amid low trust in party leaders. DISY's historical edge in larger districts like Nicosia and Limassol drives the market lead, as fragmented support for smaller parties like EDEK and KOSP limits their seat gains, while record candidate numbers and new voter registrations heighten turnout uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions