Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Chun Jae-soo at 70.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Busan mayoral election, reflecting early polls where he leads incumbent Park Heong-joon by wide margins amid voter dissatisfaction with People Power Party governance. Park holds second at 24.5% on incumbency advantages and Busan's conservative base, despite recent approval dips tied to urban development controversies and national Yoon administration headwinds. Chun's surge stems from his Rebuilding Korea Party momentum post-2024 legislative gains and Busan-specific endorsements, positioning him as the anti-establishment frontrunner. Lower odds for Democratic Party's Lee Jae-sung and others highlight fragmented opposition, with candidate announcements expected to refine probabilities ahead of primaries.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição municipal de Busan em 2026
Vencedor da eleição municipal de Busan em 2026
Chun Jae-soo 71%
Park Heong-joon 24%
Lee Jae-sung 1.4%
Choi In-ho <1%

Chun Jae-soo
71%

Park Heong-joon
24%

Lee Jae-sung
1%

Choi In-ho
1%

Cho Kuk
1%

Suh Byung-soo
1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
1%

Park Jae-ho
1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%

Hong Soon-heon
<1%
Chun Jae-soo 71%
Park Heong-joon 24%
Lee Jae-sung 1.4%
Choi In-ho <1%

Chun Jae-soo
71%

Park Heong-joon
24%

Lee Jae-sung
1%

Choi In-ho
1%

Cho Kuk
1%

Suh Byung-soo
1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
1%

Park Jae-ho
1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%

Hong Soon-heon
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Chun Jae-soo at 70.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Busan mayoral election, reflecting early polls where he leads incumbent Park Heong-joon by wide margins amid voter dissatisfaction with People Power Party governance. Park holds second at 24.5% on incumbency advantages and Busan's conservative base, despite recent approval dips tied to urban development controversies and national Yoon administration headwinds. Chun's surge stems from his Rebuilding Korea Party momentum post-2024 legislative gains and Busan-specific endorsements, positioning him as the anti-establishment frontrunner. Lower odds for Democratic Party's Lee Jae-sung and others highlight fragmented opposition, with candidate announcements expected to refine probabilities ahead of primaries.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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