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Steam predictions & odds

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Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

76%

$160K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

25

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

84%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

33

Will Valve add first CS2 operation by...?

Will Valve add first CS2 operation by...?

7%

May 31

$254 Vol.

$343 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Counter-Strike: Oldboys vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Oldboys vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

Passion Academy

$32.1K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Which maps will Valve Remove by June 30?

Which maps will Valve Remove by June 30?

7%

Mirage

$717K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

6

Ends in about 1 month

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Martians (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group B

Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Martians (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group B

50%

Martians

$0 Vol.

$208 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Red Feet (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Red Feet (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

100%

BESTIA Academy

$315 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

100%

Misa Esports

$3.3K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Counter-Strike: STATE vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: STATE vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

INFURITY Gaming

$274 Vol.

$0 Liq.

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

15%

↑ 0.30

$301K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of May 18 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of May 18 2026?

95%

↓ $3.10

$2.2K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Aurora Young Blood (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Aurora Young Blood (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Aurora Young Blood

$1.4K Vol.

Counter-Strike: FTUR vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

Counter-Strike: FTUR vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

100%

Vitality Academy

$34.0K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

62%

ex-KRÜ Esports

$935 Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in about 14 hours

Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Group D

Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Group D

100%

ReThink

$11.1K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

55%

BIG

$0 Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Hacha Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Hacha Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

100%

Isurus

$9.7K Vol.

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs megoshort (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs megoshort (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

megoshort

$6.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Steam.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Steam that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: FTUR vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 84% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Steam predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.