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OpenGradient predictions & odds

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SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

93%

SpaceX

$7.7K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

5

Ends in over 1 year

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

88%

$49.1K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

14

Ends in 8 months

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

94%

September 30

$6.4K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

72%

$800B

$1M Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

2

Ends in over 1 year

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

89%

July 31

$21.9K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

3%

$104K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

14%

June 30

$363K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

19

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

70%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

55%

ENJOY

$0 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby

$8.3K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above___?

Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above___?

96%

$3.00

$10 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Opendoor (OPEN) closes week of May 11 at ___?

Opendoor (OPEN) closes week of May 11 at ___?

52%

$4.00-$5.00

$2.9K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

40%

1.5T+

$16.3K Vol.

$31.6K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

79%

1450+

$102K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Overwatch: Solus Victorem vs Naive Piggy (BO3) - OCS China Stage 1 Round Robin Stage

Overwatch: Solus Victorem vs Naive Piggy (BO3) - OCS China Stage 1 Round Robin Stage

100%

Solus Victorem

$762 Vol.

$1 Liq.

Counter-Strike: OldBoys vs hindsight (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: OldBoys vs hindsight (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

OldBoys

$65 Vol.

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs OLDBOYS- (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs OLDBOYS- (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

50%

The Last Resort

$10 Vol.

$281 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

52%

FULL SENSE

$9 Vol.

$501 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

77%

INFURITY Gaming

$0 Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

100%

REKONIX

$279K Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like OpenGradient.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for OpenGradient that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 70% chance to No IPO by December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on OpenGradient predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.