Recent July CPI data showing a modest 0.1% monthly increase and 3.4% annual rate aligned with forecasts, anchoring trader expectations for the August print around 0.3–0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts as of mid-August project a 0.35% headline rise, reflecting persistent shelter costs, stable goods prices, and subdued energy volatility amid resilient consumer spending. These readings reinforce market-implied odds favoring contained month-over-month gains, while leaving room for upside surprises from tariffs or geopolitical energy pressures. The September 11 release remains the key catalyst, with upcoming PPI and retail sales data likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.4% 43%
0.3% 33%
≥0.5% 12%
0.2% 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
≤-0.3%
1%
-0.2%
5%
-0.1%
1%
0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
33%
0.4%
43%
≥0.5%
12%
0.4% 43%
0.3% 33%
≥0.5% 12%
0.2% 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
≤-0.3%
$161 Vol.
1%
-0.2%
$179 Vol.
5%
-0.1%
$253 Vol.
1%
0.0%
$320 Vol.
1%
0.1%
$281 Vol.
1%
0.2%
$236 Vol.
9%
0.3%
$1,856 Vol.
33%
0.4%
$1,599 Vol.
43%
≥0.5%
$467 Vol.
12%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showing a modest 0.1% monthly increase and 3.4% annual rate aligned with forecasts, anchoring trader expectations for the August print around 0.3–0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts as of mid-August project a 0.35% headline rise, reflecting persistent shelter costs, stable goods prices, and subdued energy volatility amid resilient consumer spending. These readings reinforce market-implied odds favoring contained month-over-month gains, while leaving room for upside surprises from tariffs or geopolitical energy pressures. The September 11 release remains the key catalyst, with upcoming PPI and retail sales data likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$5,351End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showing a modest 0.1% monthly increase and 3.4% annual rate aligned with forecasts, anchoring trader expectations for the August print around 0.3–0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts as of mid-August project a 0.35% headline rise, reflecting persistent shelter costs, stable goods prices, and subdued energy volatility amid resilient consumer spending. These readings reinforce market-implied odds favoring contained month-over-month gains, while leaving room for upside surprises from tariffs or geopolitical energy pressures. The September 11 release remains the key catalyst, with upcoming PPI and retail sales data likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$5,351End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data showing a modest 0.1% monthly increase and 3.4% annual rate aligned with forecasts, anchoring trader expectations for the August print around 0.3–0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts as of mid-August project a 0.35% headline rise, reflecting persistent shelter costs, stable goods prices, and subdued energy volatility amid resilient consumer spending. These readings reinforce market-implied odds favoring contained month-over-month gains, while leaving room for upside surprises from tariffs or geopolitical energy pressures. The September 11 release remains the key catalyst, with upcoming PPI and retail sales data likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions