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Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Israel 38%

Finland 17%

Greece 12%

Romania 7.1%

Polymarket

$5,817,599 Vol.

Israel 38%

Finland 17%

Greece 12%

Romania 7.1%

Polymarket

$5,817,599 Vol.

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Israel

$72,234 Vol.

38%

Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Finland

$30,065 Vol.

17%

Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Greece

$28,467 Vol.

12%

Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Romania

$51,045 Vol.

7%

Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Ukraine

$97,326 Vol.

5%

Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Italy

$93,103 Vol.

3%

Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Moldova

$314,640 Vol.

2%

Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

France

$548,809 Vol.

2%

Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Sweden

$1,892,317 Vol.

2%

Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Denmark

$1,382,567 Vol.

1%

Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Australia

$81,450 Vol.

1%

Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Cyprus

$176,211 Vol.

1%

Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Malta

$36,988 Vol.

1%

Will Montenegro win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Montenegro

$29,717 Vol.

1%

Will Switzerland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Switzerland

$68,633 Vol.

1%

Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Poland

$225,395 Vol.

1%

Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Bulgaria

$20,017 Vol.

1%

Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Croatia

$25,882 Vol.

1%

Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Germany

$46,996 Vol.

1%

Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Austria

$35,739 Vol.

<1%

Will Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Belgium

$61,673 Vol.

<1%

Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Estonia

$199,112 Vol.

<1%

Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Luxembourg

$46,453 Vol.

<1%

Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

San Marino

$38,189 Vol.

<1%

Will United Kingdom win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

United Kingdom

$23,544 Vol.

<1%

Will Czechia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Czechia

$18,044 Vol.

<1%

Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Serbia

$26,571 Vol.

<1%

Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Albania

$16,994 Vol.

<1%

Will Latvia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Latvia

$17,355 Vol.

<1%

Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Lithuania

$15,588 Vol.

<1%

Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Azerbaijan

$29,018 Vol.

<1%

Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Norway

$16,920 Vol.

<1%

Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Portugal

$18,241 Vol.

<1%

Will Armenia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Armenia

$19,509 Vol.

<1%

Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? icon

Georgia

$13,732 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Israel commands 37.5% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner, propelled by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—a catchy multilingual pop track in Hebrew, English, and French—whose March release and viral music video have ignited fan fervor and diaspora voting blocs, mirroring past televote dominance. Finland's duet powerhouse Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" sits at 16.5%, fueled by their landslide UMK victory in late February, top OGAE fan poll scores from France and others, and electric Eurovision in Concert performance last week. Greece's Akylas and energetic dance-pop "Ferto," fresh off Sing for Greece win, claims 11.5% on strong public jury split and recent OGAE 12 points from Romania. Romania's "Choke Me" and Ukraine's "Ridnym" hold steady amid diaspora support, but early Vienna rehearsals and semi-final allocations next week could shift trader sentiment in this volatile pre-party phase.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$5,817,599
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Israel commands 37.5% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner, propelled by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—a catchy multilingual pop track in Hebrew, English, and French—whose March release and viral music video have ignited fan fervor and diaspora voting blocs, mirroring past televote dominance. Finland's duet powerhouse Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" sits at 16.5%, fueled by their landslide UMK victory in late February, top OGAE fan poll scores from France and others, and electric Eurovision in Concert performance last week. Greece's Akylas and energetic dance-pop "Ferto," fresh off Sing for Greece win, claims 11.5% on strong public jury split and recent OGAE 12 points from Romania. Romania's "Choke Me" and Ukraine's "Ridnym" hold steady amid diaspora support, but early Vienna rehearsals and semi-final allocations next week could shift trader sentiment in this volatile pre-party phase.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$5,817,599
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Israel" at 38%, followed by "Finland" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" has generated $5.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" is "Israel" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Finland" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.