Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner

$2,859,757 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Timothée Chalamet 79%

Leonardo DiCaprio 14%

Wagner Moura 5.3%

Ethan Hawke 1.3%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Timothée Chalamet
$246,371 Vol.
79%

Leonardo DiCaprio
$284,462 Vol.
14%

Wagner Moura
$113,494 Vol.
5%

Ethan Hawke
$248,951 Vol.
1%

Michael B. Jordan
$94,240 Vol.
1%

Jesse Plemons
$82,141 Vol.
1%

Daniel Day-Lewis
$111,148 Vol.
<1%

Dwayne Johnson
$300,503 Vol.
<1%

Jeremy Allen White
$79,876 Vol.
<1%

Paul Mescal
$67,220 Vol.
<1%

Brendan Fraser
$155,747 Vol.
<1%

George Clooney
$67,844 Vol.
<1%

Channing Tatum
$308,185 Vol.
<1%

Colin Farrell
$482,503 Vol.
<1%

Hugh Jackman
$217,073 Vol.
<1%

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Sep 26, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Volume

$2,859,757

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Created At

Sep 26, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$2,859,757 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner

Timothée Chalamet 79%

Leonardo DiCaprio 14%

Wagner Moura 5.3%

Ethan Hawke 1.3%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Timothée Chalamet

$246,371 Vol.

79%

Leonardo DiCaprio

$284,462 Vol.

14%

Wagner Moura

$113,494 Vol.

Ethan Hawke

$248,951 Vol.

Michael B. Jordan

$94,240 Vol.

Jesse Plemons

$82,141 Vol.

Daniel Day-Lewis

$111,148 Vol.

<1%

Dwayne Johnson

$300,503 Vol.

<1%

Jeremy Allen White

$79,876 Vol.

<1%

Paul Mescal

$67,220 Vol.

<1%

Brendan Fraser

$155,747 Vol.

<1%

George Clooney

$67,844 Vol.

<1%

Channing Tatum

$308,185 Vol.

<1%

Colin Farrell

$482,503 Vol.

<1%

Hugh Jackman

$217,073 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$2,859,757

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Created At

Sep 26, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

46%

Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

100%

Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

87%

Beware of external links.

Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner

Timothée Chalamet
$246,371 Vol.
79%

Leonardo DiCaprio
$284,462 Vol.
14%

Wagner Moura
$113,494 Vol.
5%

Ethan Hawke
$248,951 Vol.
1%

Michael B. Jordan
$94,240 Vol.
1%

Jesse Plemons
$82,141 Vol.
1%

Daniel Day-Lewis
$111,148 Vol.
<1%

Dwayne Johnson
$300,503 Vol.
<1%

Jeremy Allen White
$79,876 Vol.
<1%

Paul Mescal
$67,220 Vol.
<1%

Brendan Fraser
$155,747 Vol.
<1%

George Clooney
$67,844 Vol.
<1%

Channing Tatum
$308,185 Vol.
<1%

Colin Farrell
$482,503 Vol.
<1%

Hugh Jackman
$217,073 Vol.
<1%

Market Context