Anthropic 49%
Google 27%
xAI 13%
OpenAI 7%
$21,185 Vol.
$21,185 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026

Anthropic
49%

27%

xAI
13%

OpenAI
7%

DeepSeek
5%

Mistral
2%

Alibaba
1%

Moonshot
1%

Z.ai
1%

Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 49%
Google 27%
xAI 13%
OpenAI 7%
$21,185 Vol.
$21,185 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026

Anthropic
$2,542 Vol.
49%

$2,747 Vol.
27%

xAI
$2,385 Vol.
13%

OpenAI
$3,690 Vol.
7%

DeepSeek
$2,207 Vol.
5%

Mistral
$1,583 Vol.
2%

Alibaba
$1,505 Vol.
1%

Moonshot
$1,557 Vol.
1%

Z.ai
$1,492 Vol.
1%

Meituan
$1,478 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$21,185End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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