Delcy Rodríguez's position as interim president, assumed after Nicolás Maduro's early January 2026 US capture and ouster, underpins her trader consensus at 64.5%, reflecting her consolidation of Chavista control amid economic stabilization efforts and oil negotiations with the Trump administration. Recent March 18-20 military reshuffles, including replacing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and top commanders, have bolstered her grip against hardliner resistance, elevating her lead over Maduro's 16.3% amid his ongoing New York corruption trial. Opposition figures like María Corina Machado (13.5%) gain traction from planned returns and election calls, but no vote date is set, leaving traders skeptical of near-term power shifts before year-end. US indictment threats add uncertainty to her tenure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedVenezuela leader end of 2026?
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez 65%
Nicolás Maduro 16.3%
María Corina Machado 14%
Edmundo González <1%
$78,438,047 Vol.
$78,438,047 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
65%
Nicolás Maduro
16%
María Corina Machado
14%
Edmundo González
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
No Head of State
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 65%
Nicolás Maduro 16.3%
María Corina Machado 14%
Edmundo González <1%
$78,438,047 Vol.
$78,438,047 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,256,061 Vol.
65%
Nicolás Maduro
$888,516 Vol.
16%
María Corina Machado
$858,847 Vol.
14%
Edmundo González
$452,624 Vol.
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,263,810 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$687,764 Vol.
1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$448,705 Vol.
<1%
No Head of State
$741,027 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,060,665 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$863,939 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$653,081 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$24,634,934 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,145,537 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$2,747,396 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$1,967,274 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$30,768,155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez's position as interim president, assumed after Nicolás Maduro's early January 2026 US capture and ouster, underpins her trader consensus at 64.5%, reflecting her consolidation of Chavista control amid economic stabilization efforts and oil negotiations with the Trump administration. Recent March 18-20 military reshuffles, including replacing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and top commanders, have bolstered her grip against hardliner resistance, elevating her lead over Maduro's 16.3% amid his ongoing New York corruption trial. Opposition figures like María Corina Machado (13.5%) gain traction from planned returns and election calls, but no vote date is set, leaving traders skeptical of near-term power shifts before year-end. US indictment threats add uncertainty to her tenure.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$78,438,047End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez's position as interim president, assumed after Nicolás Maduro's early January 2026 US capture and ouster, underpins her trader consensus at 64.5%, reflecting her consolidation of Chavista control amid economic stabilization efforts and oil negotiations with the Trump administration. Recent March 18-20 military reshuffles, including replacing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and top commanders, have bolstered her grip against hardliner resistance, elevating her lead over Maduro's 16.3% amid his ongoing New York corruption trial. Opposition figures like María Corina Machado (13.5%) gain traction from planned returns and election calls, but no vote date is set, leaving traders skeptical of near-term power shifts before year-end. US indictment threats add uncertainty to her tenure.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$78,438,047End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delcy Rodríguez's position as interim president, assumed after Nicolás Maduro's early January 2026 US capture and ouster, underpins her trader consensus at 64.5%, reflecting her consolidation of Chavista control amid economic stabilization efforts and oil negotiations with the Trump administration. Recent March 18-20 military reshuffles, including replacing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and top commanders, have bolstered her grip against hardliner resistance, elevating her lead over Maduro's 16.3% amid his ongoing New York corruption trial. Opposition figures like María Corina Machado (13.5%) gain traction from planned returns and election calls, but no vote date is set, leaving traders skeptical of near-term power shifts before year-end. US indictment threats add uncertainty to her tenure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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