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Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Israel 36%

Greece 18%

Finland 13%

France 6.9%

Polymarket

$3,819,345 Vol.

Israel 36%

Greece 18%

Finland 13%

France 6.9%

Polymarket

$3,819,345 Vol.

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Israel

$7,847 Vol.

36%

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Greece

$3,343 Vol.

18%

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Finland

$7,572 Vol.

13%

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France

$483,003 Vol.

7%

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Denmark

$513,891 Vol.

4%

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Moldova

$233,279 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$1,872,001 Vol.

3%

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Ukraine

$4,258 Vol.

3%

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Bulgaria

$2,530 Vol.

2%

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Italy

$12,258 Vol.

1%

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Romania

$4,321 Vol.

1%

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Cyprus

$67,301 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$36,996 Vol.

1%

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Poland

$197,795 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$11,841 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$16,906 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$35,855 Vol.

1%

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San Marino

$3,718 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$15,117 Vol.

1%

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Austria

$2,612 Vol.

1%

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Estonia

$169,374 Vol.

1%

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Australia

$24,905 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$28,352 Vol.

1%

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Montenegro

$13,640 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$2,500 Vol.

<1%

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Czechia

$2,333 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$2,795 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$4,436 Vol.

<1%

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Albania

$3,198 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$3,670 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$4,723 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$3,410 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$15,686 Vol.

<1%

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Norway

$2,930 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$4,999 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Israel's commanding 36% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner stems from its dominant 278 televote points in the 2025 Grand Final win in Basel, outpacing Greece (243 points) and Finland (226 points), which now trail at 18% and 12.5% respectively. This trader consensus reflects Israel's consistent televote strength driven by diaspora voting, high-energy staging, and now amplified by hosting the 2026 contest—likely in Tel Aviv—offering a home crowd boost. Greece's near-upset fuels revenge narrative hype, while Finland's fan-favorite energy sustains momentum. With no entries announced yet and national selections kicking off this fall, markets remain speculative, poised for shifts from early song reveals and promotional buzz.

Israel's commanding 36% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner stems from its dominant 278 televote points in the 2025 Grand Final win in Basel, outpacing Greece (243 points) and Finland (226 points), which now trail at 18% and 12.5% respectively. This trader consensus reflects Israel's consistent televote strength driven by diaspora voting, high-energy staging, and now amplified by hosting the 2026 contest—likely in Tel Aviv—offering a home crowd boost. Greece's near-upset fuels revenge narrative hype, while Finland's fan-favorite energy sustains momentum. With no entries announced yet and national selections kicking off this fall, markets remain speculative, poised for shifts from early song reveals and promotional buzz.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Israel's commanding 36% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner stems from its dominant 278 televote points in the 2025 Grand Final win in Basel, outpacing Greece (243 points) and Finland (226 points), which now trail at 18% and 12.5% respectively. This trader consensus reflects Israel's consistent televote strength driven by diaspora voting, high-energy staging, and now amplified by hosting the 2026 contest—likely in Tel Aviv—offering a home crowd boost. Greece's near-upset fuels revenge narrative hype, while Finland's fan-favorite energy sustains momentum. With no entries announced yet and national selections kicking off this fall, markets remain speculative, poised for shifts from early song reveals and promotional buzz.

Israel's commanding 36% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner stems from its dominant 278 televote points in the 2025 Grand Final win in Basel, outpacing Greece (243 points) and Finland (226 points), which now trail at 18% and 12.5% respectively. This trader consensus reflects Israel's consistent televote strength driven by diaspora voting, high-energy staging, and now amplified by hosting the 2026 contest—likely in Tel Aviv—offering a home crowd boost. Greece's near-upset fuels revenge narrative hype, while Finland's fan-favorite energy sustains momentum. With no entries announced yet and national selections kicking off this fall, markets remain speculative, poised for shifts from early song reveals and promotional buzz.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Israel" at 36%, followed by "Greece" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" has generated $3.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" is "Israel" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greece" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.