Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current five-year term, secured in the 2023 election, constitutionally extends until the next presidential vote no later than May 2028, with no snap election mechanism triggered absent parliamentary consensus his Justice and Development Party (AKP) coalition influences. Recent diplomatic activism—including April 2026 efforts on Iran ceasefire implementation, PKK peace process advancements, and hosting the Antalya summit—alongside domestic responses like tightened gun controls after school attacks, underscores his firm grip on power and visibility. Absent verified health declines, opposition surges, or official resignation signals in the past month, traders' 89.5% "No" consensus reflects structural barriers to early exit, though scandals or economic shocks could shift odds before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current five-year term, secured in the 2023 election, constitutionally extends until the next presidential vote no later than May 2028, with no snap election mechanism triggered absent parliamentary consensus his Justice and Development Party (AKP) coalition influences. Recent diplomatic activism—including April 2026 efforts on Iran ceasefire implementation, PKK peace process advancements, and hosting the Antalya summit—alongside domestic responses like tightened gun controls after school attacks, underscores his firm grip on power and visibility. Absent verified health declines, opposition surges, or official resignation signals in the past month, traders' 89.5% "No" consensus reflects structural barriers to early exit, though scandals or economic shocks could shift odds before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$348,914End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current five-year term, secured in the 2023 election, constitutionally extends until the next presidential vote no later than May 2028, with no snap election mechanism triggered absent parliamentary consensus his Justice and Development Party (AKP) coalition influences. Recent diplomatic activism—including April 2026 efforts on Iran ceasefire implementation, PKK peace process advancements, and hosting the Antalya summit—alongside domestic responses like tightened gun controls after school attacks, underscores his firm grip on power and visibility. Absent verified health declines, opposition surges, or official resignation signals in the past month, traders' 89.5% "No" consensus reflects structural barriers to early exit, though scandals or economic shocks could shift odds before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$348,914End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current five-year term, secured in the 2023 election, constitutionally extends until the next presidential vote no later than May 2028, with no snap election mechanism triggered absent parliamentary consensus his Justice and Development Party (AKP) coalition influences. Recent diplomatic activism—including April 2026 efforts on Iran ceasefire implementation, PKK peace process advancements, and hosting the Antalya summit—alongside domestic responses like tightened gun controls after school attacks, underscores his firm grip on power and visibility. Absent verified health declines, opposition surges, or official resignation signals in the past month, traders' 89.5% "No" consensus reflects structural barriers to early exit, though scandals or economic shocks could shift odds before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions