Democratic incumbent Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination with over 93 percent in the May 19 primary and faces Republican state senator David Brock Smith in the November 3 general election. Oregon's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential results and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 2002, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Merkley's long tenure since 2009 and consistent reelection margins have limited Republican competitiveness, with no general-election polls yet available to alter assessments. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Democratic outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democrat
93%
Republican
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democrat
$3,028 거래량
93%
Republican
$1,177 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination with over 93 percent in the May 19 primary and faces Republican state senator David Brock Smith in the November 3 general election. Oregon's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential results and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 2002, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Merkley's long tenure since 2009 and consistent reelection margins have limited Republican competitiveness, with no general-election polls yet available to alter assessments. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$4,205종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination with over 93 percent in the May 19 primary and faces Republican state senator David Brock Smith in the November 3 general election. Oregon's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential results and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 2002, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Merkley's long tenure since 2009 and consistent reelection margins have limited Republican competitiveness, with no general-election polls yet available to alter assessments. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$4,205종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination with over 93 percent in the May 19 primary and faces Republican state senator David Brock Smith in the November 3 general election. Oregon's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential results and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 2002, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Merkley's long tenure since 2009 and consistent reelection margins have limited Republican competitiveness, with no general-election polls yet available to alter assessments. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Democratic outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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