Virginia traders imply a 74% chance a new congressional map will be used in the 2026 midterms, driven by recent polls showing a slim Yes majority—around 52% among likely voters—for the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum allowing the Democrat-controlled General Assembly to redraw districts in response to other states' mid-decade redistricting. High early voting turnout through April 18, initially stronger in GOP areas but surging in Democratic Northern Virginia strongholds, combined with intense mobilization including former President Obama's endorsement and $20 million from House Democratic allies, has boosted sentiment despite Republican legal briefs and higher opponent motivation. The Virginia Supreme Court's February ruling cleared the ballot path, setting up swift legislative action if approved.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
신규
신규
2026.11.03
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia traders imply a 74% chance a new congressional map will be used in the 2026 midterms, driven by recent polls showing a slim Yes majority—around 52% among likely voters—for the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum allowing the Democrat-controlled General Assembly to redraw districts in response to other states' mid-decade redistricting. High early voting turnout through April 18, initially stronger in GOP areas but surging in Democratic Northern Virginia strongholds, combined with intense mobilization including former President Obama's endorsement and $20 million from House Democratic allies, has boosted sentiment despite Republican legal briefs and higher opponent motivation. The Virginia Supreme Court's February ruling cleared the ballot path, setting up swift legislative action if approved.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
거래량
$686종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia traders imply a 74% chance a new congressional map will be used in the 2026 midterms, driven by recent polls showing a slim Yes majority—around 52% among likely voters—for the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum allowing the Democrat-controlled General Assembly to redraw districts in response to other states' mid-decade redistricting. High early voting turnout through April 18, initially stronger in GOP areas but surging in Democratic Northern Virginia strongholds, combined with intense mobilization including former President Obama's endorsement and $20 million from House Democratic allies, has boosted sentiment despite Republican legal briefs and higher opponent motivation. The Virginia Supreme Court's February ruling cleared the ballot path, setting up swift legislative action if approved.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$686종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia traders imply a 74% chance a new congressional map will be used in the 2026 midterms, driven by recent polls showing a slim Yes majority—around 52% among likely voters—for the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum allowing the Democrat-controlled General Assembly to redraw districts in response to other states' mid-decade redistricting. High early voting turnout through April 18, initially stronger in GOP areas but surging in Democratic Northern Virginia strongholds, combined with intense mobilization including former President Obama's endorsement and $20 million from House Democratic allies, has boosted sentiment despite Republican legal briefs and higher opponent motivation. The Virginia Supreme Court's February ruling cleared the ballot path, setting up swift legislative action if approved.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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