Gary Peters’ retirement created an open Michigan Senate seat in a state Donald Trump carried in 2024, drawing a competitive three-way Democratic primary among Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens alongside likely Republican nominee Mike Rogers. Recent May 2026 head-to-head polls show Rogers holding narrow leads or statistical ties against the Democratic frontrunners, reflecting the seat’s battleground status and the party’s midterm challenges. Trader consensus still assigns Democrats the higher probability, consistent with Michigan’s recent electoral patterns, Democratic fundraising edges, and the unresolved primary dynamics that could shape the general-election matchup ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 2026 vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$115,163 거래량
$115,163 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
72%
공화당
27%
$115,163 거래량
$115,163 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$82,359 거래량
72%
공화당
$32,804 거래량
27%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Gary Peters’ retirement created an open Michigan Senate seat in a state Donald Trump carried in 2024, drawing a competitive three-way Democratic primary among Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens alongside likely Republican nominee Mike Rogers. Recent May 2026 head-to-head polls show Rogers holding narrow leads or statistical ties against the Democratic frontrunners, reflecting the seat’s battleground status and the party’s midterm challenges. Trader consensus still assigns Democrats the higher probability, consistent with Michigan’s recent electoral patterns, Democratic fundraising edges, and the unresolved primary dynamics that could shape the general-election matchup ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 2026 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$115,163종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Gary Peters’ retirement created an open Michigan Senate seat in a state Donald Trump carried in 2024, drawing a competitive three-way Democratic primary among Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens alongside likely Republican nominee Mike Rogers. Recent May 2026 head-to-head polls show Rogers holding narrow leads or statistical ties against the Democratic frontrunners, reflecting the seat’s battleground status and the party’s midterm challenges. Trader consensus still assigns Democrats the higher probability, consistent with Michigan’s recent electoral patterns, Democratic fundraising edges, and the unresolved primary dynamics that could shape the general-election matchup ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 2026 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$115,163종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gary Peters’ retirement created an open Michigan Senate seat in a state Donald Trump carried in 2024, drawing a competitive three-way Democratic primary among Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens alongside likely Republican nominee Mike Rogers. Recent May 2026 head-to-head polls show Rogers holding narrow leads or statistical ties against the Democratic frontrunners, reflecting the seat’s battleground status and the party’s midterm challenges. Trader consensus still assigns Democrats the higher probability, consistent with Michigan’s recent electoral patterns, Democratic fundraising edges, and the unresolved primary dynamics that could shape the general-election matchup ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 2026 vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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