The retirement of Democratic incumbent Gary Peters has opened Michigan’s U.S. Senate seat for 2026, with the Democratic primary on August 4 featuring a competitive three-way contest among Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow that has drawn significant attention and resources. Republican nominee Mike Rogers, who narrowly lost the prior cycle, faces a general-election environment rated a toss-up by major forecasters yet reflected in trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee at 72 percent implied probability. Recent primary polling and hypothetical head-to-head matchups show narrow Republican edges in some surveys, but broader factors including the state’s recent electoral patterns, candidate recruitment, and early fundraising have sustained the market’s assessment of a Democratic advantage ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$114,777 거래량
$114,777 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
72%
공화당
29%
$114,777 거래량
$114,777 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$82,359 거래량
72%
공화당
$32,418 거래량
29%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The retirement of Democratic incumbent Gary Peters has opened Michigan’s U.S. Senate seat for 2026, with the Democratic primary on August 4 featuring a competitive three-way contest among Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow that has drawn significant attention and resources. Republican nominee Mike Rogers, who narrowly lost the prior cycle, faces a general-election environment rated a toss-up by major forecasters yet reflected in trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee at 72 percent implied probability. Recent primary polling and hypothetical head-to-head matchups show narrow Republican edges in some surveys, but broader factors including the state’s recent electoral patterns, candidate recruitment, and early fundraising have sustained the market’s assessment of a Democratic advantage ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$114,777종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The retirement of Democratic incumbent Gary Peters has opened Michigan’s U.S. Senate seat for 2026, with the Democratic primary on August 4 featuring a competitive three-way contest among Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow that has drawn significant attention and resources. Republican nominee Mike Rogers, who narrowly lost the prior cycle, faces a general-election environment rated a toss-up by major forecasters yet reflected in trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee at 72 percent implied probability. Recent primary polling and hypothetical head-to-head matchups show narrow Republican edges in some surveys, but broader factors including the state’s recent electoral patterns, candidate recruitment, and early fundraising have sustained the market’s assessment of a Democratic advantage ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$114,777종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of Democratic incumbent Gary Peters has opened Michigan’s U.S. Senate seat for 2026, with the Democratic primary on August 4 featuring a competitive three-way contest among Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow that has drawn significant attention and resources. Republican nominee Mike Rogers, who narrowly lost the prior cycle, faces a general-election environment rated a toss-up by major forecasters yet reflected in trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee at 72 percent implied probability. Recent primary polling and hypothetical head-to-head matchups show narrow Republican edges in some surveys, but broader factors including the state’s recent electoral patterns, candidate recruitment, and early fundraising have sustained the market’s assessment of a Democratic advantage ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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