Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic "blue wave" in the 2026 midterms at 80.5%, reflecting sustained leads in generic congressional ballot polling averages of 8-10 points favoring Democrats, as tracked by Nate Silver, Morning Consult, and RealClearPolling into early May. Recent Democratic victories in state special elections, including eye-catching upsets noted on May 5, have amplified momentum, while a wave of Republican House retirements—over two dozen announced—signals internal GOP frustration amid economic headwinds and policy gridlock under the Republican trifecta. Independent voter shifts toward Democrats bolster the odds, though midterm turnout dynamics, incumbency advantages in battleground districts, and potential late-campaign shifts could still influence the November 3 outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$41,347 거래량
$41,347 거래량
2026.11.30
예
$41,347 거래량
$41,347 거래량
2026.11.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic "blue wave" in the 2026 midterms at 80.5%, reflecting sustained leads in generic congressional ballot polling averages of 8-10 points favoring Democrats, as tracked by Nate Silver, Morning Consult, and RealClearPolling into early May. Recent Democratic victories in state special elections, including eye-catching upsets noted on May 5, have amplified momentum, while a wave of Republican House retirements—over two dozen announced—signals internal GOP frustration amid economic headwinds and policy gridlock under the Republican trifecta. Independent voter shifts toward Democrats bolster the odds, though midterm turnout dynamics, incumbency advantages in battleground districts, and potential late-campaign shifts could still influence the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
마켓 개설일: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
거래량
$41,347종료일
2026.11.30마켓 개설일
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic "blue wave" in the 2026 midterms at 80.5%, reflecting sustained leads in generic congressional ballot polling averages of 8-10 points favoring Democrats, as tracked by Nate Silver, Morning Consult, and RealClearPolling into early May. Recent Democratic victories in state special elections, including eye-catching upsets noted on May 5, have amplified momentum, while a wave of Republican House retirements—over two dozen announced—signals internal GOP frustration amid economic headwinds and policy gridlock under the Republican trifecta. Independent voter shifts toward Democrats bolster the odds, though midterm turnout dynamics, incumbency advantages in battleground districts, and potential late-campaign shifts could still influence the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
거래량
$41,347종료일
2026.11.30마켓 개설일
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic "blue wave" in the 2026 midterms at 80.5%, reflecting sustained leads in generic congressional ballot polling averages of 8-10 points favoring Democrats, as tracked by Nate Silver, Morning Consult, and RealClearPolling into early May. Recent Democratic victories in state special elections, including eye-catching upsets noted on May 5, have amplified momentum, while a wave of Republican House retirements—over two dozen announced—signals internal GOP frustration amid economic headwinds and policy gridlock under the Republican trifecta. Independent voter shifts toward Democrats bolster the odds, though midterm turnout dynamics, incumbency advantages in battleground districts, and potential late-campaign shifts could still influence the November 3 outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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