Republican Mark Harris holds a strong position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10 following 2025 redistricting, and Harris won the prior cycle with nearly 60 percent of the vote. Democrat Colby Watson secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's partisan composition, incumbency advantage, and limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in the broader midterm environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,676 거래량
$13,676 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
15%
$13,676 거래량
$13,676 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$5,674 거래량
85%
Democratic Party
$8,002 거래량
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Mark Harris holds a strong position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10 following 2025 redistricting, and Harris won the prior cycle with nearly 60 percent of the vote. Democrat Colby Watson secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's partisan composition, incumbency advantage, and limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in the broader midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$13,676종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Mark Harris holds a strong position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10 following 2025 redistricting, and Harris won the prior cycle with nearly 60 percent of the vote. Democrat Colby Watson secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's partisan composition, incumbency advantage, and limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in the broader midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,676종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Mark Harris holds a strong position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10 following 2025 redistricting, and Harris won the prior cycle with nearly 60 percent of the vote. Democrat Colby Watson secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's partisan composition, incumbency advantage, and limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in the broader midterm environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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