Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has reinforced Democratic advantages heading into the November 2026 general election. The state's longstanding partisan lean, combined with a competitive Democratic primary featuring Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig, supports trader consensus around a party hold. Republican candidates remain divided ahead of their August primary, and early polling plus nonpartisan race ratings label the contest likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee emerging, unexpected national political momentum, or late primary surprises that alter the general-election matchup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$23,312 거래량
$23,312 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
92%
공화당
10%
$23,312 거래량
$23,312 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$16,446 거래량
92%
공화당
$6,866 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has reinforced Democratic advantages heading into the November 2026 general election. The state's longstanding partisan lean, combined with a competitive Democratic primary featuring Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig, supports trader consensus around a party hold. Republican candidates remain divided ahead of their August primary, and early polling plus nonpartisan race ratings label the contest likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee emerging, unexpected national political momentum, or late primary surprises that alter the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$23,312종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has reinforced Democratic advantages heading into the November 2026 general election. The state's longstanding partisan lean, combined with a competitive Democratic primary featuring Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig, supports trader consensus around a party hold. Republican candidates remain divided ahead of their August primary, and early polling plus nonpartisan race ratings label the contest likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee emerging, unexpected national political momentum, or late primary surprises that alter the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$23,312종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has reinforced Democratic advantages heading into the November 2026 general election. The state's longstanding partisan lean, combined with a competitive Democratic primary featuring Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig, supports trader consensus around a party hold. Republican candidates remain divided ahead of their August primary, and early polling plus nonpartisan race ratings label the contest likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee emerging, unexpected national political momentum, or late primary surprises that alter the general-election matchup.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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