In Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election—sparked by JD Vance's 2025 resignation to become vice president—appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted faces former Senator Sherrod Brown after May 5 primaries, where Brown secured 89% of the Democratic vote signaling strong base turnout. Polymarket traders price Democrats at 57.5% implied probability, diverging from RealClearPolitics' +2.6 Husted lead in April polls, likely due to Brown's fundraising dominance ($17 million cash on hand vs. Husted's $8 million as of May 7) and his prior three-term experience appealing to swing voters on labor and manufacturing issues. Forecasters rate it a competitive toss-up or Lean Republican, with the November 3 general election hinging on turnout in this Republican-leaning battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$76,736 거래량
$76,736 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
57%
공화당
44%
$76,736 거래량
$76,736 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$44,789 거래량
57%
공화당
$31,947 거래량
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.In Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election—sparked by JD Vance's 2025 resignation to become vice president—appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted faces former Senator Sherrod Brown after May 5 primaries, where Brown secured 89% of the Democratic vote signaling strong base turnout. Polymarket traders price Democrats at 57.5% implied probability, diverging from RealClearPolitics' +2.6 Husted lead in April polls, likely due to Brown's fundraising dominance ($17 million cash on hand vs. Husted's $8 million as of May 7) and his prior three-term experience appealing to swing voters on labor and manufacturing issues. Forecasters rate it a competitive toss-up or Lean Republican, with the November 3 general election hinging on turnout in this Republican-leaning battleground.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
거래량
$76,736종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.In Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election—sparked by JD Vance's 2025 resignation to become vice president—appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted faces former Senator Sherrod Brown after May 5 primaries, where Brown secured 89% of the Democratic vote signaling strong base turnout. Polymarket traders price Democrats at 57.5% implied probability, diverging from RealClearPolitics' +2.6 Husted lead in April polls, likely due to Brown's fundraising dominance ($17 million cash on hand vs. Husted's $8 million as of May 7) and his prior three-term experience appealing to swing voters on labor and manufacturing issues. Forecasters rate it a competitive toss-up or Lean Republican, with the November 3 general election hinging on turnout in this Republican-leaning battleground.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$76,736종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election—sparked by JD Vance's 2025 resignation to become vice president—appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted faces former Senator Sherrod Brown after May 5 primaries, where Brown secured 89% of the Democratic vote signaling strong base turnout. Polymarket traders price Democrats at 57.5% implied probability, diverging from RealClearPolitics' +2.6 Husted lead in April polls, likely due to Brown's fundraising dominance ($17 million cash on hand vs. Husted's $8 million as of May 7) and his prior three-term experience appealing to swing voters on labor and manufacturing issues. Forecasters rate it a competitive toss-up or Lean Republican, with the November 3 general election hinging on turnout in this Republican-leaning battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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