Sherrod Brown secured the Democratic nomination in Ohio's May 5 special Senate primary, setting up a general election rematch against Republican incumbent Jon Husted, appointed to replace Vice President JD Vance, in this pivotal battleground midterm race. Polling averages, including recent BGSU/YouGov (Husted 50%-Brown 47%) and Echelon Insights (Husted 51%-Brown 45%), show a narrow Republican edge, yet traders price Brown at 57.5% implied probability, highlighting divergence from surveys amid midterm dynamics often unfavorable to the president's party. Early campaign attacks on Husted's past ties and Brown's strong name recognition in swing-state Ohio sustain the closely contested positioning, with November 3 resolution pending turnout in key battlegrounds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$75,285 거래량
$75,285 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
57%
공화당
44%
$75,285 거래량
$75,285 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$43,959 거래량
57%
공화당
$31,326 거래량
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Sherrod Brown secured the Democratic nomination in Ohio's May 5 special Senate primary, setting up a general election rematch against Republican incumbent Jon Husted, appointed to replace Vice President JD Vance, in this pivotal battleground midterm race. Polling averages, including recent BGSU/YouGov (Husted 50%-Brown 47%) and Echelon Insights (Husted 51%-Brown 45%), show a narrow Republican edge, yet traders price Brown at 57.5% implied probability, highlighting divergence from surveys amid midterm dynamics often unfavorable to the president's party. Early campaign attacks on Husted's past ties and Brown's strong name recognition in swing-state Ohio sustain the closely contested positioning, with November 3 resolution pending turnout in key battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
거래량
$75,285종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Sherrod Brown secured the Democratic nomination in Ohio's May 5 special Senate primary, setting up a general election rematch against Republican incumbent Jon Husted, appointed to replace Vice President JD Vance, in this pivotal battleground midterm race. Polling averages, including recent BGSU/YouGov (Husted 50%-Brown 47%) and Echelon Insights (Husted 51%-Brown 45%), show a narrow Republican edge, yet traders price Brown at 57.5% implied probability, highlighting divergence from surveys amid midterm dynamics often unfavorable to the president's party. Early campaign attacks on Husted's past ties and Brown's strong name recognition in swing-state Ohio sustain the closely contested positioning, with November 3 resolution pending turnout in key battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$75,285종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sherrod Brown secured the Democratic nomination in Ohio's May 5 special Senate primary, setting up a general election rematch against Republican incumbent Jon Husted, appointed to replace Vice President JD Vance, in this pivotal battleground midterm race. Polling averages, including recent BGSU/YouGov (Husted 50%-Brown 47%) and Echelon Insights (Husted 51%-Brown 45%), show a narrow Republican edge, yet traders price Brown at 57.5% implied probability, highlighting divergence from surveys amid midterm dynamics often unfavorable to the president's party. Early campaign attacks on Husted's past ties and Brown's strong name recognition in swing-state Ohio sustain the closely contested positioning, with November 3 resolution pending turnout in key battlegrounds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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