Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) faces a competitive Democratic primary challenge from well-funded Eric Jones in California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, with ballots already mailed to all active voters and registration closing May 18. Jones, a former investment executive endorsed by Our Revolution, leads challengers in fundraising at $1.4 million cash on hand as of late March, highlighting a generational and ideological contrast to Thompson's 28-year moderate Blue Dog tenure in the D+17 district. A crowded field of six Republicans and one independent fragments GOP support, boosting odds both Democrats advance per historical patterns since 2016. Recent Sacramento Bee voter guides emphasize turnout as key, with no public polls released amid early voting preparations starting May 23.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$23,059 거래량
2026.06.02
마이크 톰슨
98%
Eric Jones
91%
Trevor Merrell
12%
히스 펄커슨
10%
John Wesley Tyler
8%
Sharon Brown
7%
맨디 구사르
6%
로리 맥켄지
4%
$23,059 거래량
마이크 톰슨
$7,050 거래량
98%
Eric Jones
$4,757 거래량
91%
Trevor Merrell
$7,016 거래량
12%
히스 펄커슨
$396 거래량
10%
John Wesley Tyler
$765 거래량
8%
Sharon Brown
$1,621 거래량
7%
맨디 구사르
$744 거래량
6%
로리 맥켄지
$710 거래량
4%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) faces a competitive Democratic primary challenge from well-funded Eric Jones in California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, with ballots already mailed to all active voters and registration closing May 18. Jones, a former investment executive endorsed by Our Revolution, leads challengers in fundraising at $1.4 million cash on hand as of late March, highlighting a generational and ideological contrast to Thompson's 28-year moderate Blue Dog tenure in the D+17 district. A crowded field of six Republicans and one independent fragments GOP support, boosting odds both Democrats advance per historical patterns since 2016. Recent Sacramento Bee voter guides emphasize turnout as key, with no public polls released amid early voting preparations starting May 23.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
거래량
$23,059종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) faces a competitive Democratic primary challenge from well-funded Eric Jones in California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, with ballots already mailed to all active voters and registration closing May 18. Jones, a former investment executive endorsed by Our Revolution, leads challengers in fundraising at $1.4 million cash on hand as of late March, highlighting a generational and ideological contrast to Thompson's 28-year moderate Blue Dog tenure in the D+17 district. A crowded field of six Republicans and one independent fragments GOP support, boosting odds both Democrats advance per historical patterns since 2016. Recent Sacramento Bee voter guides emphasize turnout as key, with no public polls released amid early voting preparations starting May 23.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$23,059종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) faces a competitive Democratic primary challenge from well-funded Eric Jones in California's top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District on June 2, with ballots already mailed to all active voters and registration closing May 18. Jones, a former investment executive endorsed by Our Revolution, leads challengers in fundraising at $1.4 million cash on hand as of late March, highlighting a generational and ideological contrast to Thompson's 28-year moderate Blue Dog tenure in the D+17 district. A crowded field of six Republicans and one independent fragments GOP support, boosting odds both Democrats advance per historical patterns since 2016. Recent Sacramento Bee voter guides emphasize turnout as key, with no public polls released amid early voting preparations starting May 23.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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