Incumbent U.S. Representative Mike Thompson, a longtime moderate Democrat, seeks renomination in California's 4th Congressional District under the state's top-two primary system on June 2, 2026. Recent redistricting through Proposition 50 added substantial rural and historically conservative territory in counties such as Colusa, Placer, Sacramento, Sutter, and Yuba, altering the district's composition after Thompson's prior comfortable reelections. Democratic challenger Eric Jones, a venture capitalist with significant fundraising, presents the main intra-party contest. Several Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, are also on the ballot. The filing deadline passed in March with no major subsequent developments reported. Trader consensus on advancement reflects these established candidate profiles and the compressed timeline to election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$32,229 거래량
2026.06.02
마이크 톰슨
94%
Eric Jones
92%
John Wesley Tyler
9%
히스 펄커슨
5%
로리 맥켄지
4%
Sharon Brown
2%
Trevor Merrell
1%
맨디 구사르
<1%
$32,229 거래량
마이크 톰슨
$7,382 거래량
94%
Eric Jones
$5,473 거래량
92%
John Wesley Tyler
$1,045 거래량
9%
히스 펄커슨
$638 거래량
5%
로리 맥켄지
$710 거래량
4%
Sharon Brown
$3,449 거래량
2%
Trevor Merrell
$10,817 거래량
1%
맨디 구사르
$2,715 거래량
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Representative Mike Thompson, a longtime moderate Democrat, seeks renomination in California's 4th Congressional District under the state's top-two primary system on June 2, 2026. Recent redistricting through Proposition 50 added substantial rural and historically conservative territory in counties such as Colusa, Placer, Sacramento, Sutter, and Yuba, altering the district's composition after Thompson's prior comfortable reelections. Democratic challenger Eric Jones, a venture capitalist with significant fundraising, presents the main intra-party contest. Several Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, are also on the ballot. The filing deadline passed in March with no major subsequent developments reported. Trader consensus on advancement reflects these established candidate profiles and the compressed timeline to election day.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
거래량
$32,229종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Representative Mike Thompson, a longtime moderate Democrat, seeks renomination in California's 4th Congressional District under the state's top-two primary system on June 2, 2026. Recent redistricting through Proposition 50 added substantial rural and historically conservative territory in counties such as Colusa, Placer, Sacramento, Sutter, and Yuba, altering the district's composition after Thompson's prior comfortable reelections. Democratic challenger Eric Jones, a venture capitalist with significant fundraising, presents the main intra-party contest. Several Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, are also on the ballot. The filing deadline passed in March with no major subsequent developments reported. Trader consensus on advancement reflects these established candidate profiles and the compressed timeline to election day.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$32,229종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent U.S. Representative Mike Thompson, a longtime moderate Democrat, seeks renomination in California's 4th Congressional District under the state's top-two primary system on June 2, 2026. Recent redistricting through Proposition 50 added substantial rural and historically conservative territory in counties such as Colusa, Placer, Sacramento, Sutter, and Yuba, altering the district's composition after Thompson's prior comfortable reelections. Democratic challenger Eric Jones, a venture capitalist with significant fundraising, presents the main intra-party contest. Several Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, are also on the ballot. The filing deadline passed in March with no major subsequent developments reported. Trader consensus on advancement reflects these established candidate profiles and the compressed timeline to election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문