California's 4th Congressional District holds its nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with the two highest vote-getters advancing to the November general regardless of party. Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, a longtime moderate seeking his 15th term, faces a primary challenge from fellow Democrat Eric Jones amid new district lines drawn under Proposition 50 that added rural and historically conservative areas while shifting the overall partisan balance toward Democrats. Multiple Republican candidates, including nurses Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, are also on the ballot. The race occurs just days before voting begins, with early ballots already distributed and in-person early voting available.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$32,208 거래량
마이크 톰슨
96%
Eric Jones
92%
John Wesley Tyler
9%
히스 펄커슨
5%
로리 맥켄지
4%
Sharon Brown
2%
Trevor Merrell
1%
맨디 구사르
<1%
$32,208 거래량
마이크 톰슨
96%
Eric Jones
92%
John Wesley Tyler
9%
히스 펄커슨
5%
로리 맥켄지
4%
Sharon Brown
2%
Trevor Merrell
1%
맨디 구사르
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's 4th Congressional District holds its nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with the two highest vote-getters advancing to the November general regardless of party. Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, a longtime moderate seeking his 15th term, faces a primary challenge from fellow Democrat Eric Jones amid new district lines drawn under Proposition 50 that added rural and historically conservative areas while shifting the overall partisan balance toward Democrats. Multiple Republican candidates, including nurses Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, are also on the ballot. The race occurs just days before voting begins, with early ballots already distributed and in-person early voting available.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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