Incumbent Republican Senator Roger Marshall’s bid for a second term anchors trader sentiment in the Kansas Senate race, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican voting patterns and limited Democratic field strength. With primaries set for August 4, Marshall faces minimal intra-party opposition while Democratic candidates including Christy Davis and Adam Hamilton compete in an August primary without established statewide momentum. Forecasters from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical Senate results in Kansas. Recent campaign finance filings show Marshall maintaining a fundraising edge, and no major polling shifts or external events have altered the race’s trajectory in the past month. These structural factors support the current market pricing of an 81 percent Republican outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$28,206 거래량
$28,206 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
81%
민주당
19%
$28,206 거래량
$28,206 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$16,950 거래량
81%
민주당
$11,256 거래량
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Roger Marshall’s bid for a second term anchors trader sentiment in the Kansas Senate race, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican voting patterns and limited Democratic field strength. With primaries set for August 4, Marshall faces minimal intra-party opposition while Democratic candidates including Christy Davis and Adam Hamilton compete in an August primary without established statewide momentum. Forecasters from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical Senate results in Kansas. Recent campaign finance filings show Marshall maintaining a fundraising edge, and no major polling shifts or external events have altered the race’s trajectory in the past month. These structural factors support the current market pricing of an 81 percent Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
거래량
$28,206종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Roger Marshall’s bid for a second term anchors trader sentiment in the Kansas Senate race, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican voting patterns and limited Democratic field strength. With primaries set for August 4, Marshall faces minimal intra-party opposition while Democratic candidates including Christy Davis and Adam Hamilton compete in an August primary without established statewide momentum. Forecasters from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical Senate results in Kansas. Recent campaign finance filings show Marshall maintaining a fundraising edge, and no major polling shifts or external events have altered the race’s trajectory in the past month. These structural factors support the current market pricing of an 81 percent Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$28,206종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator Roger Marshall’s bid for a second term anchors trader sentiment in the Kansas Senate race, reflecting the state’s consistent Republican voting patterns and limited Democratic field strength. With primaries set for August 4, Marshall faces minimal intra-party opposition while Democratic candidates including Christy Davis and Adam Hamilton compete in an August primary without established statewide momentum. Forecasters from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical Senate results in Kansas. Recent campaign finance filings show Marshall maintaining a fundraising edge, and no major polling shifts or external events have altered the race’s trajectory in the past month. These structural factors support the current market pricing of an 81 percent Republican outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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