Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party’s nomination in the May 12 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Cindy Burbank’s victory in her primary has prompted her expected withdrawal to back independent Dan Osborn. This consolidation has narrowed the general election contest to Ricketts versus the populist independent, who previously came within seven points of defeating another GOP senator in 2024. Traders reflect this dynamic through a 59 percent Republican probability and 39 percent for the independent, viewing Nebraska’s Republican-leaning electorate and Ricketts’s incumbency as advantages that Osborn’s union-backed, blue-collar appeal has narrowed but not yet overcome ahead of the November vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트공화당 59%
무소속 39%
민주당 3.3%
$114,280 거래량
$114,280 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
59%
무소속
39%
민주당
3%
공화당 59%
무소속 39%
민주당 3.3%
$114,280 거래량
$114,280 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$48,000 거래량
59%
무소속
$2,936 거래량
39%
민주당
$63,344 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party’s nomination in the May 12 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Cindy Burbank’s victory in her primary has prompted her expected withdrawal to back independent Dan Osborn. This consolidation has narrowed the general election contest to Ricketts versus the populist independent, who previously came within seven points of defeating another GOP senator in 2024. Traders reflect this dynamic through a 59 percent Republican probability and 39 percent for the independent, viewing Nebraska’s Republican-leaning electorate and Ricketts’s incumbency as advantages that Osborn’s union-backed, blue-collar appeal has narrowed but not yet overcome ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
거래량
$114,280종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party’s nomination in the May 12 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Cindy Burbank’s victory in her primary has prompted her expected withdrawal to back independent Dan Osborn. This consolidation has narrowed the general election contest to Ricketts versus the populist independent, who previously came within seven points of defeating another GOP senator in 2024. Traders reflect this dynamic through a 59 percent Republican probability and 39 percent for the independent, viewing Nebraska’s Republican-leaning electorate and Ricketts’s incumbency as advantages that Osborn’s union-backed, blue-collar appeal has narrowed but not yet overcome ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$114,280종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party’s nomination in the May 12 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Cindy Burbank’s victory in her primary has prompted her expected withdrawal to back independent Dan Osborn. This consolidation has narrowed the general election contest to Ricketts versus the populist independent, who previously came within seven points of defeating another GOP senator in 2024. Traders reflect this dynamic through a 59 percent Republican probability and 39 percent for the independent, viewing Nebraska’s Republican-leaning electorate and Ricketts’s incumbency as advantages that Osborn’s union-backed, blue-collar appeal has narrowed but not yet overcome ahead of the November vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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