Russian forces continue to occupy Uspenivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast's Hulyaipole direction, facing sustained Ukrainian pressure through precision strikes on nearby ammunition depots and command posts, as reported by Ukraine's General Staff on April 1-3, 2026. Geolocated footage confirms Ukrainian advances northwest of Stepnohirsk and east of Zaliznychne in late March, challenging Russian positions without confirmed re-entry into the settlement. Russian offensives in the sector have stalled, with elite naval infantry deployments compensating for losses amid intensive combat. Traders should monitor frontline fluidity, potential reinforcements, and upcoming escalation signals like drone strikes or troop rotations, as rapid military developments could shift control before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$60,922 Vol.
4月30日
12%
$60,922 Vol.
4月30日
12%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Mar 26, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue to occupy Uspenivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast's Hulyaipole direction, facing sustained Ukrainian pressure through precision strikes on nearby ammunition depots and command posts, as reported by Ukraine's General Staff on April 1-3, 2026. Geolocated footage confirms Ukrainian advances northwest of Stepnohirsk and east of Zaliznychne in late March, challenging Russian positions without confirmed re-entry into the settlement. Russian offensives in the sector have stalled, with elite naval infantry deployments compensating for losses amid intensive combat. Traders should monitor frontline fluidity, potential reinforcements, and upcoming escalation signals like drone strikes or troop rotations, as rapid military developments could shift control before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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