US-Venezuela tensions stem from the disputed July 2024 presidential election, where the Biden administration recognized opposition leader Edmundo González Urrutia as the winner amid fraud claims against Nicolás Maduro's regime. In the past month, the US imposed sanctions on 11 officials and oil entities for post-election repression, halting some Chevron licenses and prompting Maduro's defiant rhetoric and arrest warrants for opponents, but no military actions or escalations. Formal war declaration requires congressional authorization under Article I, Section 8—a threshold unmet since World War II amid diplomatic focus on sanctions and negotiations. The November 5 US presidential election could shift foreign policy postures toward Latin America, though neither major candidate advocates military conflict. Absent sudden crises like border incursions or refugee surges, trader consensus reflects low escalation risk by the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$765,426 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
2026年6月30日
1%
$765,426 Vol.
2026年6月30日
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Venezuela tensions stem from the disputed July 2024 presidential election, where the Biden administration recognized opposition leader Edmundo González Urrutia as the winner amid fraud claims against Nicolás Maduro's regime. In the past month, the US imposed sanctions on 11 officials and oil entities for post-election repression, halting some Chevron licenses and prompting Maduro's defiant rhetoric and arrest warrants for opponents, but no military actions or escalations. Formal war declaration requires congressional authorization under Article I, Section 8—a threshold unmet since World War II amid diplomatic focus on sanctions and negotiations. The November 5 US presidential election could shift foreign policy postures toward Latin America, though neither major candidate advocates military conflict. Absent sudden crises like border incursions or refugee surges, trader consensus reflects low escalation risk by the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET
音量
$765,426終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Venezuela tensions stem from the disputed July 2024 presidential election, where the Biden administration recognized opposition leader Edmundo González Urrutia as the winner amid fraud claims against Nicolás Maduro's regime. In the past month, the US imposed sanctions on 11 officials and oil entities for post-election repression, halting some Chevron licenses and prompting Maduro's defiant rhetoric and arrest warrants for opponents, but no military actions or escalations. Formal war declaration requires congressional authorization under Article I, Section 8—a threshold unmet since World War II amid diplomatic focus on sanctions and negotiations. The November 5 US presidential election could shift foreign policy postures toward Latin America, though neither major candidate advocates military conflict. Absent sudden crises like border incursions or refugee surges, trader consensus reflects low escalation risk by the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$765,426終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Venezuela tensions stem from the disputed July 2024 presidential election, where the Biden administration recognized opposition leader Edmundo González Urrutia as the winner amid fraud claims against Nicolás Maduro's regime. In the past month, the US imposed sanctions on 11 officials and oil entities for post-election repression, halting some Chevron licenses and prompting Maduro's defiant rhetoric and arrest warrants for opponents, but no military actions or escalations. Formal war declaration requires congressional authorization under Article I, Section 8—a threshold unmet since World War II amid diplomatic focus on sanctions and negotiations. The November 5 US presidential election could shift foreign policy postures toward Latin America, though neither major candidate advocates military conflict. Absent sudden crises like border incursions or refugee surges, trader consensus reflects low escalation risk by the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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