Market icon

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?

YoutubeVideo LogoEnded
<1% chance
Polymarket

$604,511 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during it's landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.

This market pertains to the sixth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the sixth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the sixth launch, and this market will stay open until the sixth launch has occurred. If the sixth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.


音量
$604,511
終了日
Nov 18, 2024
作成日時
Nov 15, 2024, 2:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during it's landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the sixth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the sixth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the sixth launch, and this market will stay open until the sixth launch has occurred. If the sixth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?" has generated $604.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?

YoutubeVideo LogoEnded
<1% chance
Polymarket

$604,511 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during it's landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.

This market pertains to the sixth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the sixth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the sixth launch, and this market will stay open until the sixth launch has occurred. If the sixth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.


音量
$604,511
終了日
Nov 18, 2024
作成日時
Nov 15, 2024, 2:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during it's landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the sixth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the sixth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the sixth launch, and this market will stay open until the sixth launch has occurred. If the sixth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?" has generated $604.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.