Market icon
政治·トランプ

エプスタイン島を訪れたのは誰ですか？

Market icon
政治·トランプ

エプスタイン島を訪れたのは誰ですか？

$1,598,314 Vol.

2026/06/30
Polymarket

$1,598,314 Vol.

Polymarket

リチャード・ブランソン

$52,111 Vol.

40%

ディーパック・チョプラ

$11,841 Vol.

17%

ケヴィン・スペイシー

$27,886 Vol.

14%

ウディ・アレン

$12,830 Vol.

14%

スティーブ・バノン

$57,934 Vol.

12%

スティーブン・ティッシュ

$4,728 Vol.

11%

ビル・クリントン

$262,762 Vol.

8%

ノーム・チョムスキー

$25,656 Vol.

8%

ビル・ゲイツ

$100,157 Vol.

7%

ビル・コスビー

$8,860 Vol.

5%

ハーヴェイ・ワインスタイン

$18,555 Vol.

5%

マイケル・ジャクソン

$155,064 Vol.

4%

ヒラリー・クリントン

$39,800 Vol.

4%

ドナルド・トランプ

$132,138 Vol.

4%

ピーター・アティア

$6,969 Vol.

3%

ジェイ・Z

$578,487 Vol.

3%

イーロン・マスク

$80,862 Vol.

2%

マルコ・ルビオ

$21,674 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's release of over 3.5 million Epstein files in late January 2026, mandated by the Epstein Files Transparency Act, has driven trader sentiment by naming prominent figures like former presidents, celebrities, and executives in connection to Jeffrey Epstein's activities, though few provided new confirmations of visits to Little St. James island beyond previously public flight logs from the Ghislaine Maxwell trial. Subsequent batches in February highlighted "politically exposed persons," sparking resignations such as Goldman Sachs' Kathy Ruemmler and investigations into others like Peter Mandelson, yet no arrests have followed per legal experts. Polymarket traders reflect this uncertainty in fragmented probabilities across outcomes, with the market resolving June 30, 2026, upon credible evidence like official documents or court testimony; ongoing bank settlements and potential further DOJ disclosures could shift consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,598,314
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's release of over 3.5 million Epstein files in late January 2026, mandated by the Epstein Files Transparency Act, has driven trader sentiment by naming prominent figures like former presidents, celebrities, and executives in connection to Jeffrey Epstein's activities, though few provided new confirmations of visits to Little St. James island beyond previously public flight logs from the Ghislaine Maxwell trial. Subsequent batches in February highlighted "politically exposed persons," sparking resignations such as Goldman Sachs' Kathy Ruemmler and investigations into others like Peter Mandelson, yet no arrests have followed per legal experts. Polymarket traders reflect this uncertainty in fragmented probabilities across outcomes, with the market resolving June 30, 2026, upon credible evidence like official documents or court testimony; ongoing bank settlements and potential further DOJ disclosures could shift consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,598,314
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「エプスタイン島を訪れたのは誰ですか？」はPolymarket上の18個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「リチャード・ブランソン」で40%、次いで「ディーパック・チョプラ」が17%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、40¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に40%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「エプスタイン島を訪れたのは誰ですか？」は$1.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 12, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「エプスタイン島を訪れたのは誰ですか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている18個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「エプスタイン島を訪れたのは誰ですか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「リチャード・ブランソン」で40%であり、市場がこの結果に40%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ディーパック・チョプラ」で17%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「エプスタイン島を訪れたのは誰ですか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。